俄罗斯为什么不怕美国的经济制裁_20141014_153610（Why Russia is not afraid of U.S. economic sanctions _20141014_153610）

俄罗斯为什么不怕美国的经济制裁_20141014_153610（Why Russia is not afraid of U.S. economic sanctions _20141014_153610） 俄罗斯为什么不怕美国的经济制裁_20141014_153610(Why Russia is not afraid of U.S. economic sanctions _20141014_153610) Why Russia is not afraid of economic sanctions in the United States (Reprinted) in the international market, there are two kinds of "weapons" often used in the diplomatic field, one is "shells", and the other is "currency"". The Ukraine question should have been a general domestic political issue, but because of its accession to the United States and Russia, it has affected the nerves of the whole world. Under Russia's military intervention in Ukraine, the United States has proposed sanctions against russia. We know that Russia's attitude towards the United States is rarely compromised, silent, and always struck back in the first place. In March 4th, the Russian authorities "by Putin consultant Sergei Glazyev released news, claiming that if the United States for Ukraine to impose sanctions on Russia, Moscow or forced to give up the dollar as a reserve currency, refused to repay any loans to the Bank of the United States; if the United States to freeze the Russia Company and personal accounts, the Russian Treasury cleared all investors or suggestions. About US dollar debt problems, although the United States has been full of confidence, but the White House and Wall Street are all carefully conceal mentioning. Russia plays the "currency" card, the author personally expected mainly to show no compromise position and reveal the bottom line of Moscow Kremlin. Moscow Kremlin officials later said that the comments by Putin consultant Sergei Glazyev on the dollar were not official. Despite the fact that Russia has "given up" the dollar in a short time, it is unlikely that such a thing will happen, but it is reasonable and psychologically prepared for Russia to say so. Russia has the conditions to choose other different currencies with Iraq, Libya and other countries, Russia has enough industrial and agricultural resources, there are irreplaceable international influence in the military, political and other fields. More importantly, the basis of money is trade, and the euro can quickly become the second largest international currency after the dollar, because the entire euro zone's trade influence is next to the United states. At present, the EU and Chinese is Russia's largest trading partner, accounting for more than 60% of the total trade across Russia, if Russia and the EU and Chinese trade choice the local currency settlement, for Russia and the European Union, Chinese, does not seem difficult, but a natural thing. What's more, the euro and the RMB itself are very attractive, and Russia has more choice. The US trade with Russia is even lower than the volume of trade between Russia and Turkey. From the perspective of Global trade, Russia has the basis to give up the dollar as the settlement currency. Russia has the ability to deal with economic sanctions against Russia in the aspect of financial and industrial structure exists a lot of problems, but Russia has not replicated and alternative fuel resources, per capita GDP reached 15000 U.S. dollars, is two times more than the Chinese. In recent years, Russia's annual trade surplus of more than 150 billion U. s.dollars, foreign exchange reserves of $500 billion, gold reserves of nearly 1000 tons. Russia is the world's seventh largest reserve of gold and silver, and gold reserves account for 8% of Russia's official reserves. Since mid 2013, Russia has bought a certain amount of gold almost every month. In other words, as a surplus country, Russia is not only able to choose other settlement currencies, There are enough chips and measures to deal with economic sanctions and other foreign currency reserves, and, in fact, Russia has been working towards it since 2008. Russia need to abandon the dollar China support Chinese is Russia's largest trading partner, Russia has suggested that the trade between China and Russia to give up the dollar in 2008, Putin pointed out that based on the dollar, the world is experiencing serious problems and confusion, the global financial market situation is still very difficult, in this condition should be considered to improve the Sino Russian bilateral trade payment system, including greater use of its currency through coordinated steps. China's attitude is crucial to Russia in dealing with US sanctions and rejecting the dollar economy. Russia's import demand is mainly in the fields of medical, electronic, electrical equipment, clothing and textile products, and China can meet most of the Russian import demand. The export market in the United States has little contribution to Russia, and some equipment, Germany and so on can replace the United states. When necessary, Russia in the import and export, you can completely leave the United States, with Europe, China and the CIS countries to form a large enough to support the operation of the Russian economy cycle economy. Of course, the premise is that the European Union will not sanction Russia with the United states. Sanctions against Russia, Europe and the United States will not agree with the 1/4 of natural gas from Russia, Eastern Europe, Croatia Czech and Slovakia's natural gas supply, almost one hundred percent rely on Russia, France 15% of natural gas from Russia, Italy, about 30% to 35% of natural gas from Russia, Germany and other countries are also very dependent on Russian natural gas. After the United States proposed economic sanctions against Russia, Britain and Germany are expressed in the attitude of official documents carrying a senior British officials on Monday to prime minister Cameron Downing street meeting showed that Britain might oppose the imposition of sanctions to Russia, because this could damage London's reputation as a safe harbor in the Russian capital. Germany is most concerned about whether Russia will shut down its gas valves and stop the delivery of gas to europe. The foreign ministers of Germany and Belgium have expressed opposition to kicking Russia out of G8 and other international organizations. German media said that the escalation of the situation in Ukraine, "can not blame Putin", also suggested that if Moscow, Kiev, Brussels and Washington can work together, this is the victory of the west. The financial sector, which provides high taxes and economic growth for the United Kingdom, can not do without Russian capital. As a military power, Britain has private scruples about the Russian army, which is more powerful than herself. The development of Germany, France and Russia also requires fuel resources. More importantly, the European Union in Ukraine has been "offended" over Russia, if the situation dragged into the extreme state, the EU can not control the political situation in Ukraine, but also unable to control russia. Europe is in the midst of economic recovery, neither economically nor militarily, can withstand Russian confrontation. There is no way America can change this. Triggered the global determination to dollarization, after the United States called for sanctions against Russia, the first day of opening (March 3rd), Russia's stock market plummeted 13.5%, The rouble fell sharply. In order to curb the ruble decline further, the Russian central bank had to sell $10 billion in foreign exchange reserves, and a substantial increase in interest rates (up from 5.5% to 7%), the entire capital market economy risk too horrible to look at, in crisis. Russia, as a country with $500 billion in foreign exchange reserves, is also difficult to prevent turmoil in its currency and capital markets in an emergency. Russian President Putin had to issue a note to ease the situation in March 4th. This makes the global market gradually understand the "dollar economy" brought about by strategic risks. If Russia chooses to give up the dollar and sell its treasury bonds sharply, Russia and the international financial markets will be briefly volatile, but it is not a disaster for the world. Because the fed only consider the national interests of the United States cyclical monetary policy and the financial crisis and other issues, innocent countries often encounter the financial risk, currency crisis, and China and other emerging countries understand that the stability of the world economy needs from to the dollar ". It is also clear to all countries that the reconstruction of the world monetary system will pay a certain price. In fact, every country has a dream of getting rid of the dollar. At present, only the euro zone has achieved some success, but it still can not completely eliminate the dollar from the perspective of global trade. The reason is that countries in the control of economic development, monetary policy, political situation at home and abroad can not be compared with the United States, so the global "go to the dollar" road is still long. But Russia's attitude is enough to let the world know that the dollar can sometimes be used as a weapon to blackmail the United states. Also, it is important to note that an alternative international currency is not a "let it go" process. In 40s of last century, the United States holds a large number of gold reserves (22000 tons), the United States England owed a huge debt, the U.S. military strength has been far beyond the United Kingdom, the United States forced Britain signed the "agreement of the International Monetary Fund" and "IBRD agreement" in Bretton woods, establishing the dollar as the center of the international monetary system (Bretton Woods). Since then, the dollar has really taken the place of sterling, becoming the new international currency. On the issue of international currency, the United States can not "peaceful decline", Russia may really "start" the first gun to subvert the international status of the dollar. Although it might be a gun.