外文翻译--我国企业跨国并购财务风险分析及防范（可编辑）

外文翻译--我国企业跨国并购财务风险分析及防范（可编辑） 外文翻译--我国企业跨国并购财务风险分析及防范 我国企业跨国并购财务风险分析及 防范 ?以中国移动并购巴科泰尔为例 07会计4班 D07520412陶梦娜 外文翻译 原文1 Cross-border mergers and acquisitions: the European?US experience 1. Factors motivating cross-border acquisitions In her extensive discussion of the merger and acquisition process McDonagh Bengtsson 1990 proposes that the following factors motivate many companies to acquire foreign firms: the desire to spread products and diversify risks geographically; to gain back-up products; to exploit synergies; and to attain economies of scale. However, she cautions that workforce problems, poor facilities, as well as social and technological differences may expose the acquiring company to new risks. Other studies in the area of cross-border acquisitions attribute the pattern of acquisitions to several competing factors, both favorable and unfavorable. The discussion that follows surveys a sampling of these factors, examining first the favorable acquisition variables i.e. variables that appear to influence the firm’s concerned with cross-border deals, then the unfavorable ones. We pay particular attention to those factors more directly related to the countries under study 1.1. Favorable acquisition factors Although there are a number of factors that favor acquisition activity, we focus on those that seem to affect cross-border acquisitions between the US and the EU. These factors include exchange rates, diversification, and economic conditions in the home country, as well as technology and human resources. 1.1.1. Exchange rates Current and forecasted future exchange rates affect the home currency equivalent of acquisition prices, as well as the present value of future cash flows accruing to the acquired firm; therefore, the dominant effect in any particular case is ultimately an empirical question. Existing studies, predictably, arrive at different conclusions concerning the role of exchange rates. For example, Froot and Stein 1991 propose that, while there is a relationship between the exchange rates and acquisition activity, there is no evidence that a change in the exchange rate improves the position of foreign acquirers relative to their US counterparts. They contend that when the dollar depreciates, the US becomes a cheaper place for any firm to do business ? foreign or domestic. In addition, they downplay the relationship between foreign acquisitions and exchange rates, arguing that improved capital mobility leads to equalized, risk-adjusted returns on international investments. Goldberg 1993 reaches different conclusions. She finds that a depreciated US dollar reduces FDI in American businesses. She also contends that the reverse holds true, that is, if the dollar is strong, one observes an increase in foreign acquisition of US firms and a downward trend in US acquisitions of foreign firms. However, Harris and Ravenscraft 1991 present empirical evidence that is in contrast toGoldberg’s findings. In particular, they contend that a depreciated dollar increases the number of foreign acquisitions of US firms. 1.1.2. Diversification This argument is based on the empirical observation that the covariance of returns across different economies, even within the same industries, is likely to be smaller than within a single economy. It follows that the prospective acquiring company must first decide on its desired levels of risk and return. Only then should it attempt to identify countries, industries, and specific firms that fall within its risk class. In addition, by acquiring ongoing foreign concerns, companies may be able to circumvent tariff and non-tariff barriers, thereby improving their risk?return tradeoff by lowering the level of unsystematic risk.7 1.1.3. Economic conditions in the home country Favorable cyclical conditions in the acquiring firm’s home country should facilitate cross-border acquisitions as a means for increasing demand and levels of diversification. On the other hand, adverse economic conditions, such as a slump, recession, or capital market constraints, may cause prospective acquiring firms to concentrate on their domestic business while postponing any international strategic moves. 1.1.4. Acquisition of technological and human resources If a firm falls behind in the level of technological knowledge necessary to compete efficiently in its industry, and it is unable or unwilling to obtain the required technology through research and development, then it may attempt to acquire a foreign firm which is technologically more advanced. In their study, Cebenoyan et al. 1992 support this point, showing that the expansion into new markets through acquisitions allows firms to gain competitive advantage from the possession of specialized resources. 1.2. Unfavorable acquisition factors The factors discussed thus far generally tend to encourage firms to make crossborder acquisitions. In contrast, there are other variables that often appear to restrain cross-border combinations. These include information asymmetry, monopolistic power, as well as government restrictions and regulations. 1.2.1. Information asymmetry. Roll 1986 contends that information about a prospective target firm e.g. marketshare, sales, cash flow forecasts is crucial in the decision-making process of an acquiring firm. If the necessary information is not available, Roll 1986 argues that the prospective acquiring firm may be forced to delay or discontinue its plans, eventhough the foreign firm appears to be an attractive target. In contrast, Stoughton 1988 argues that information effects are not always harmful. He points out that the prospective acquirer may be able to obtain information about the target firm that is not available to other market participants. 1.2.2. Monopolistic power If a firm enjoys monopolistic power a difficult prospect in the US, due to antitrust laws, then entry into the industry becomes more difficult for potential competitors, domestic or foreign. Moreover, a monopolist is much more likely to resist a takeover attempt. Other barriers to entry that make cross-border acquisitions especially difficult within a monopolistic environment include extensive outlays for research and development, capital expenditures necessary to establish greenfield production facilities, and/or product differentiation through a massive advertising campaign. 1.2.3. Government restrictions and regulations Most governments have some form of takeover regulations in place. In many instances, government approval is mandatory before an acquisition by a foreign firm can occur. In addition, there may exist government restrictions on capital repatriations, dividend payouts, intracompany interest payments, and other remittances. Scholes and Wolfson 1990 for example, discuss periods in the US where regulatory events discouraged acquisition activity; they cite the William’s Amendments and the Tax Reform Act of 1969 as significant legal and regulatory changes that contributed to a significant showdown in merger activity in the 1960s. In addition, Scholes and Wolfson 1990 argue that there was a similar impact resulting from changes in US tax laws in the 1980s, because those changes increased transaction costs in acquisitions involving US sellers and foreign buyers. On the other hand, Dewenter 1995 contends that her empirical findings in the chemical and retail industry contradict Scholes and Wolfson 1990. She concludes from her findings that the US tax regime changes in the 1980s provide no explanation for the level of foreign acquisition activity. However, one must note that while Dewenter 1995a only examined two industries, representing approximately 16% of foreign acquisition activity during 1978?89, Scholes and Wolfson 1990 examined activity from 1968 through 1987 and included a large number of industries in their study. This discussion of the variables that influence cross-border acquisitions, both positively and negatively, suggests that whereas there exists a substantial measure of added complexity in mergers involving firms in different countries, some fundamental aspects of merger analysis remain unchanged. That is, a merger or acquisition, cross-border or domestic, can be treated in the framework of a capital budgeting decision, where the main variables to be estimated are the future cash flows, the acquisition price, and the costs of financing the transaction. Therefore, it stands to reason that, at a macroeconomic level, one should include both the exchange rates and the cost of financing the acquisition. Exchange rates affect both the current price of the target as well as the future cash flows. The cost of financing the acquisition with a mix of debt and equity i.e. the yields on long-term debt and stock prices should also play an important role. This is true even though most multi-national corporations have access to global financial markets and will, ceteris paribus, raise funds where the cost of capital is the lowest Author: R.J. Kish. Nationality: Amarica Originate form: Journal of Multinational Financial Management 19988 434?43 译文1 欧洲、美国的跨国并购经验 1. 激励跨国并购的因素 McDonagh Bengtsson1990在关于合并和收购过程的广泛讨论 中,提出下列激励很多公司收购外国公司的因素: 第一,传播产品和 地理上分散风险的愿望;第二,获得支撑的产品;第三,充分发挥协同 作用,最后达到经济规模。然而,她警告说,劳动力问题,设施问题,还有社会和技术差异等等都可能暴露公司新的危机。在跨国并购地区的其他的研究有助于形成收购模式的几个竞争因素,包括有利的与不利的。下面的讨论调查的第一次检查有利获取变量(即变量出现影响该公司的有关跨境交易)的这些因素的取样,然后是不利的因素取样。我们要特别注意这些因素更直接关系到国家的。 1.1有利的并购因素 虽然有很多有利于并购活动的因素,我们把关注的焦点放在那些可能影响美国和欧盟之间跨国并购的那些因素。这些因素包括汇率、多元化、在自己国家的经济发展状况以及技术和人力资源等。 1.1.1汇率 目前和预测未来外汇汇率的影响本国货币相当于收购价格, 收购公司应累算的未来现金流量的现值,因此,在任何一个特定情况的主导作用是实证研究的问题。在现有研究成果的基础上,可以预料到关于汇率作用不同的结论。例如,Froot和Stein 1991指出,尽管并购活动与汇率有一定的关系,但是根据他们在美国的同行显示,没有证据能证明人民币汇率的变动能提高跨国收购地位。他们声称,当美元的贬值,我们变成任何一个国内或是国外公司做生意更便宜的地方,。除此之外,他们淡化了跨国收购和汇率 制度 关于办公室下班关闭电源制度矿山事故隐患举报和奖励制度制度下载人事管理制度doc盘点制度下载 之间的关系,认为资本流动的提高导致平等和贴现率的国际投资回报。歌德堡1993却有不同的结论。她发现美元的贬值降低了在美国的外商直接投资。她还认为,相反的才是真理,那就是,如果美元强会增加外国公司收购美国 公司的活动,美国公司收购外国公司则会呈现下降趋势。然而, Harris和Ravenscraft1991提出了与Goldberg相反的实证证据。特别是,他们认为美元贬值会增加外方收购美国公司的数量。 1.1.2 多样化 这个争论是基于实证的观察, 在不同的经济环境的哪怕同一个行业里,协方差的回报也可能是比在一个单一的经济环境下小。它的意思是,潜在收购的公司必须首先要确定其预期的风险和回报。只有这样它才能尝试确定国家、行业、企业内的特定风险。在通过获取持续的外交关系,公司可以躲避关税壁垒和非关税壁垒,从而通过降低非系统风险的水平来提高他们的交易风险回报。 1.1.3 本国的经济条件 收购公司在祖国拥有的良好的周期性条件应该作为一种减少需求和降低多样化水平的手段来促进跨国并购。另一方面,不良的经济条件,如在暴跌、经济衰退或资本市场约束的条件下,可能导致潜在收购公司集中精力在他们国内的业务而推迟任何国际战略迁移。 1.1.4 并购技术和人力资源的培养 如果一个公司的有效竞争所必要科技水平落后于其行业水平,而且它不能或不愿去获取并发展它需要的技术和研究,那么它可能试图并购那些技术更加先进的外国公司。在他们的研究中, Cebenoyan et al 1992支持这个观点,即通过并购拓展新市场使公司能从获得被并购公司拥有的专门的竞争优势。 1.2 不利的并购因素 到目前为止讨论的因素,一般倾向于鼓励企业进行跨境并购。。相反,还有其他的变数,经常出现抑制跨境合并。这些包括信息不对称、垄断权力,以及政府约束和 规则 编码规则下载淘宝规则下载天猫规则下载麻将竞赛规则pdf麻将竞赛规则pdf 。 1.2.1 信息不对称。 Roll 1986认为, 有关一个潜在目标公司(如市场份额,销售,现金流预测)的信息是并购公司过程中至关重要的决策过程。如果必要的信息不可用,Rool1986认为潜在的收购公司可能会被迫延迟或中断它的计划,尽管外国公司似乎是一个非常不错的目标。相反, Stoughton 1988则认为信息效果不一定是有害的。他指出,潜在的收购方可能可以获取到目标公司其它市场参与者不能获取的信息。 1.2.2 垄断力量 如果一个公司享有垄断力量一个困难的前景,因为反托拉斯法法律,那么潜在无论是国内或国外的的竞争者要加入这个行业变得更难了。此外,垄断者更抵制收购的企图。在垄断环境中的其他成为跨国并购进入的主要障碍包括广泛研究与发展支出,建立绿地的生产设施、产品差异化通过大规模的广告宣传活动等的资本必要支出。 1.2.3 政府约束和规则 大多数政府在地方有某种形式的收购规则。在许多情况下,政府批准之前,强制收购外国公司也可能发生。此外, 可能存在政府限制资本遣返,股息支出,公司内部利息支付和其他汇款。以Scholes和Wolfson 1990为例, 讨论了在美国监管活动阻碍了并购活动期间,他们列举了威廉的修正案,1969年税收改革法案作为重要的法律和法 规的变化,促成了在20世纪60年代并购活动明显摊牌。此外, Scholes和Wolfson 1990认为在20世纪80年代美国税法的改革有一个同样的影响,因为这些变化增加了我们在收购交易中成本包括卖方和国外买家。另一方面,Dewenter1995认为她在化学和零售行业中的发现的实证结果与Scholes和Wolfson的观点相矛盾1990。她 总结 初级经济法重点总结下载党员个人总结TXt高中句型全总结.doc高中句型全总结.doc理论力学知识点总结pdf 了她的发现,美国在80年代的税收政策的变化没有对外国投资者并购活动的水平提供任何解释说明。然而,必须注意的是, 必须注意的是, Dewenter(1995年)只审查了在1978至1989年间约占16%的海外收购活动的两个行业,而在从1968年到1987年的考察活动中,Scholes和Wolfson(1990)在他们的研究中包括各行业。对从积极和消极两个方面影响跨国并购的变量讨论显示,在不同国家的公司涉及相当程度的合并中存在一个附加的复杂性,合并分析的一些基本方面保持不变。也就是说,合并或收购、跨国或国内,如果要估计的主要因素是对未来现金流量,收购的价格,融资的交易成本,那么经处理后都可以在一个资本预算决定框架内处理。因此,按理说,在宏观经济层面上,人们应该包括汇率和融资收购的成本。汇率影响目标目前以及未来现金流量的当前价格。在融资方面的债务和股本组合(即长期债务和股票价格的收益率)的收购成本也应发挥重要作用。这是真实的,尽管大多数跨国公司已经进入全球金融市场,并且在其他条件不变的情况下,会在募集资金资本成本最低的地方募集资金。 作者:基什 国籍:美国 出处:《跨国公司 财务管理 大学财务管理考试重点公司财务管理研究总公司财务管理财务管理价值观念财务管理创新 》,第8卷,第四期,1998年11 月,434-437 原文2 Mitigating risks in cross-border acquisitions In the past 20 years, the volume of cross-border acquisitions for corporate assets has increased nearly three times faster than the volume of domestic acquisitions. Compared to domestic acquisitions, cross-border acquisitions present greater challenges for a buyer because of institutions and cultural values that are unfamiliar to a foreign corporation. Firms acquiring assets in a foreign country may face different accounting practices and disclosure requirements, which hamper the due diligence process. The internalization of assets into the buyer operational structure is further complicated by cultural peculiarities that determine how strategies are formulated and business is conducted. Acquiring firms may also encounter legal systems with different protection of property rights, a factor that adds uncertainty to future cash flows. The greater level of uncertainty in cross-border acquisitions reduces the value of the assets being exchanged Akerlof 1970; Stiglitz, 2000 and appears as an explanation to the poor performance of acquirers in cross-border acquisitions Denis et al., 2002; Moeller and Schlingemann, 2005. In this article, I will analyze different alternatives in which buyers can ameliorate the risks inherent in these transactions. This analysis is important for understanding the optimal entry strategies for firms that want to expand their operations in foreign markets Acquiring firms can reduce investment uncertainty by structuring the payments so they are contingent on performance of the assets. This paper analyzes two alternative contingent payments.First, buyers can pay with stock, sharing the risk of the acquisition with the sellers as they will retain an equity position in the acquirer. Second, acquiring firms can use earn out payments contingent on the performance of the assets being acquired Kohers and Ang, 2000. Buyers and sellers can operate assets together in an equity joint venture JV to improve the exchange of information on the quality of the assets. Nanda and Williamson 1995 describe several JVs that were conceived as a mechanism to exchange information conducive to an eventual acquisition. In a sample of predominantly domestic JVs, Mantecon and Chatfield 2007 find that JVs can be mechanisms to transfer assets in the presence of valuation uncertainty The purpose of this article is to understand which of these mechanisms for reducing uncertainty is more beneficial to acquirers of cross-border corporate assets. I hypothesize that the use of earnouts and stock as a method of payment and the formation of equity JVs conducive to acquisitions should be more valuable when investment uncertainty is more severe. This article contributes to the existing literature by testing this hypothesis in a sample of 30,783 acquisitions announced from 1985 to 2005. This sample involved buyers from 75 nations engaged in 6824 cross border-acquisitions of assets located in 128 countries. The results show that the valuation effects to acquirers in cross-border deals depend on the information obtained about the assets before the acquisition. Buyers experienced large gains in the acquisition of assets that were operated in a JV, suggesting that acquirers profited from the information obtained while jointly operating the assets. I hypothesize that these gains should be positively associated with the degree of uncertainty being resolved. Consistent with this hypothesis, acquirers experienced larger gains in the acquisitions of JVs located in countries with higher levels of investment risk and in the presence of higher levels of valuation uncertainty.These results suggest that JVs can be used as a transitional mechanism to reduce the uncertainty associated with cross-border acquisitions in the presence of severe valuation uncertainties and country investment risks Mechanisms to ameliorate investment risk in cross-border acquisitions.Although the evidence on the valuation effects to acquirers of cross-border acquisitions remains inconclusive, these buyers face higher levels of uncertainty for several reasons. The due diligence process is complicated by different accounting and disclosure requirements. Assimilation of assets is also more difficult because of cultural differences that determine how business is conducted. In addition, legal systems with different levels for protection of minority shareholders and enforceability of contracts increase the difficulty to value future cash flows. How can buyers reduce the uncertainty associated with crossborder acquisitions? Reuer 2005 suggests the use of contingent payments and operational relationships. The use of stock as currency can be a contractual tool to reduce investment risk because it has a contingent-pricing effect Hansen, 1987. The target firm, accepting stock, signals positive information on the value of the acquirer and on the assets being transferred. Buyers in turn signal their own quality as they prefer to use their stock when it is overvalued Myers and Majluf, 1984. Thus, the final market reaction to announcements of using stock in acquisitions depends on the level of asymmetric information about the buyer and the target as well as their relative bargaining position Acquiring firms can also reduce uncertainty by using earnout payments. Reuer et al. 2004 find that US firms use more contingent payouts when purchasing assets in high-tech and services industries for a sample of 3098 deals in the period 1995?1998. Kohers and Ang 2000 analyze 938 mergers with earnout payments. They report that earnouts facilitate the transactions in the presence of high information asymmetries. Buyers face higher levels of uncertainty in cross-border acquisitions. This article contributes to the extant literature by analyzing different mechanisms buyers can use to reduce investment uncertainty in a large sample of cross-border acquisitions of assets located in 128 countries. The results from this analysis indicate that buyers experienced lower gains when the assets were located in a different country. The findings suggest that these inferior gains can be explained by more severe age