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首页 许子枋中国未来房价将分区域涨跌并现(China´s future housing p…

许子枋中国未来房价将分区域涨跌并现(China´s future housing prices will rise and fall in different regions).doc

许子枋中国未来房价将分区域涨跌并现(China´s…

世上男人的累
2018-01-31 0人阅读 举报 0 0 0 暂无简介

简介:本文档为《许子枋中国未来房价将分区域涨跌并现(China´s future housing prices will rise and fall in different regions)doc》,可适用于社会民生领域

许子枋中国未来房价将分区域涨跌并现(China´sfuturehousingpriceswillriseandfallindifferentregions)许子枋中国未来房价将分区域涨跌并现(China'sfuturehousingpriceswillriseandfallindifferentregions)XuZifang:ChinafuturepriceswillnowchangeandregionalZifangChinese:futurepriceswillbeupsanddownsandtheregionCategory:PropertyReviewDate::Originaladdress:reasonablepricesback"hiddenmeaningThisisanexcerptofsomeofmyviewsonthe"reasonablereturnofhousingprices"inamacroareaThecentralcontroloftherealestateindustryexpressedfromunusuallyclear"resolutelycurbhousingpricestothewordingofspecial"fuzzy"promotethepricesreasonablereturn,whatisthehiddenmeaningbehinditAfterstudyingaseriesofdata,realestateobserverXuZifangsaid:"thisisneitheranindicationoftheinevitabledeclineinprices,norisitadiplomaticconceptofwords""IthinkthisexpressionisfullofwisdomChinese,theconnotationoftheregulatoryeraChinafuturerealestatepolicyoveralldirectionandoverallfeatures,andthecentralgovernmenttousemetaphormorescientificmeanstocontroltherealestatemarketOnDecember,inBeijing,thecentraleconomicworkconference,acomprehensiveanalysisofthecurrentdomesticandinternationaleconomicsituation,profoundlyexpoundedthemajorproblemsofeconomicworknextyearandthenextperiodmustgrasp,clearlyputforwardthegeneralrequirementsfortheeconomicworknextyear,fiscalpolicy,themaintaskMeetingtherequirementsofagoodgraspoftheWenzhongqiujinthegeneralworkguideline,continuetoimplementtheproactivefiscalpolicyandprudentmonetarypolicyandmaintainthecontinuityandstabilityofmacroeconomicpolicies,enhancethepertinence,flexibilityandforwardlookingregulation,continuetoworktomaintainstableandrapideconomicdevelopment,adjustingtheeconomicstructureandmanaginginflationexpectations,speedingupthetransformationtopromotetheeconomicdevelopmentmodeandtheadjustmentofeconomicstructure,strivetoexpanddomesticdemand,effortstostrengthentheindependentinnovationandenergysavingemissionreduction,deepenreformandopeningup,toensureandimprovepeople'slivelihood,maintainingsteadyandrapideconomicdevelopmentandtheoverallpricelevelbasicallystable,maintainsocialharmonyandstability,withoutstandingachievementsineconomicandsocialdevelopmenttomeettheeighteenbigvictoryofthepartyheldTherealestateindustry,themeetingpointedout,"insistonrealestatecontrolpoliciesdon'tshake,promotethepricesreasonablereturn,tospeeduptheordinarycommodityhousingconstruction,expandtheeffectivesupplyandpromotethehealthydevelopmentoftherealestatemarket"HowtounderstandthepromotionofhousingpricesreturntoareasonablelevelTheattitudeandtrainofthoughtforthedevelopmentofrealestateindustryinthepostregulationeraWhatkindofhousepriceisreasonableWhatisthereasonablecriterionofhousepriceAtpresent,bothdomesticandinternationalandthelackofstrictstandards,somescholarscombinedwithinternationalstandards,afterhistorycomparessomeevaluationmethodsandpricesofinternationalrelatedcountries,drawanumberofvaluableexperiencerelativestandardAmongthem,themostvaluablecriteriaare:housingprices,incomeratioItreferstoacountryorregion,ataparticularpointintime,theaveragelivingareaofafamilyhousingpricesandtheaverageannualincomeofafamilyratioBasedonwhethertheratioisinareasonablerange,todeterminethedegreeofrealestatebubbleAccordingtotheactualsituationofourcountry,Ithinkthenationalpriceincomeratioremainedatreasonableinterval(basedonspecificslightly),inthenationalhousingincomeratiowas,closetoareasonable,slightlyhigherButthesubregional,regionaldistributionofhousingpricetoincomeratioisnotbalanced,fromnearlytwoyearsofdata,firsttiercitiesandtheeasterncityofBeijing,Shanghai,Shenzhen,Hangzhou,issignificantlyhigherthanaverageincome,aremorethan,evenhigherthanindividualcityInthetopfiveBeijing,Shenzhen,Shanghai,HangzhouandXiamen,thehousingincomeratioreached,,,andrespectivelyinAndhousingpricesthantherelativelylowincome,Chongqing,Shenyangandothercitiesincentralandwesterncities,theincomeratioisgraduallymorethanthenationalaverageVisible,inthenationalhousingpricesthanthedeclineinincome,mainlyinthethreeorfourcities,housingprices,incomeratiodeclined,Andmostofthesecondtiercitieshousingprices,incomeratioisrisingThisreflectsthatsincelastyear,thestatekeyregulationofurbanhousingpricesrisingtoofastpolicyorientationiscorrectIn,therealestatecontrolhasachievedphasedresultsThen,thespiritofthecentraleconomicworkconference,whynotdirectlysay"topromoteareasonabledeclineinprices,"butthat"topromoterationalreturnofprices"Ithink,forthecentralpolicy(notlimitedtotheregulationofrealestatepolicy)theexpresswordinghasalwaysbeenveryimportant,thesewordsnotonlyreflectsthebroadandprofoundculturalChinese,andverypreciselytheintentionexpressedinthecentrallevelFromthebeginningoftheyearisveryclear,stronglyworded"resolutelycurbtherapidriseinprices,thecentraleconomicworkconferenceis"promotethepricesreasonablereturn,thepricesreasonablereturn"isveryinteresting,itisworththinkingFirstofall,areasonablereturndoesnotmeanthatpriceswillfallThesocalledreasonablereturnofhousingprices,roughlookseemstomeanpricesdown,butinfactdonotfullymeanthisCarefulconsideration,promotethepricesreasonablereturnmeansthatthevalueofrealestatepricestopromotethestandardoftheproductitselfhasregression,theconnotationoftwomeanings:Foamhighdegreeofcityresidentsmustmakeitdowntoitsbenchmarkvalueaxisdownthereisnobubbleinthecityandareapricescanbemodestrisepricesshouldreflectthesynchronizationwitheconomicgrowthandpeople'sincomegrowth,thesetwodirectionsarereasonablepricesreturntotheChinesedirectorsaidtheStateDepartmentofhousingandUrbanPolicyResearchCenter,QinHongheldinGuangzhou"AnnualForum",adheretotheregulationofrealestatepolicyunswervingly,istocontinuetocurbspeculation,tomeetthenormaldemandforhousingfromlivingInthe"reasonablereturntopromoteprices"on,notsimplytolowerpricesInmyopinion,QinHong'sviewisworthyofbeingacceptedThereasonsforheradoptionarebothbasedonherspecialidentityandherprofessionaldepthandstrategicvisionInthecentralgovernmentadheretotherealestatecontrolpolicyisnotshaken,thepolicyeffectwillgraduallybecontinued,therealestatemarketwillcontinueintheshorttermdownwardtrendofinertiaThecity'sbubblepricesreasonabledownwardregression,whichisforsureButnationally,lessdevelopedareasandmanydevelopedthreeorfourlinesofthecity,withthedegreeofurbanization,continuetopromotethesustainedeconomicdevelopmentandincomeincreasefactors,pricesarestillreasonableupsideSecondly,theexpressionoftherealestateregulationpolicy,fromthewordingoftheunusuallycleartothewordingofthespecial"fuzzy",whatisthehiddenmeaningbehinditThisisnotagameofwords,IthinktheconnotationoftheChinesefuturetrendofrealestatepolicies,onthepremiseofinsistingontherealestateregulationdoesnotrelaxunderthecontrolofthemaintoneofisnotexpectedtohaveamorestrictpolicyintroduced,thecontrolpolicywillcontinueinOneofthebiggestcharacteristicsoftheregulatorypolicyinmaybethetimingadjustment,regionalfinetuning,creditpolicyisdifferentiated,supportcontrol,andmakefulluseofmarketratherthanadministrativemeansBecauseofthedifferenceoftherealestatepolicysupportregionalrealestatecreditpolicyadjustmentandcontrol,whichcanpromotethereasonablepricestoreturntothevalueofthekernelandkernellivelihoodbaseline,letpricestomaintainthelevelofthepublicintheaffordablerange,promotethehousingpriceincomeratioismoreandmorereasonable,whileallowingthemagnitudeofpricechanges(thepartoftheregionalhousepricesrosemodestly)thebalanceinfavorofsocialparties(government,enterprises,banking,publicrelations,etc)isconducivetothegradualadjustmentoftheeconomicstructure,toachieveasoftlandingChinaeconomyThe"reasonablereturnofhouseprices"isakindofabnormalandaccurateguidanceanddescriptionoftheregionaldifferentiationandstructuraldifferentiationofChina'srealestatedevelopmentafterregulationThirdly,beforetheestablishmentofChina'sneweconomicpillarindustries,therealestateindustryasapillarofChina'seconomycannotbecompletelyreplacedButthefuturepropertymarketregulationisexpectedtobeclear,China'shousingpricesshouldnolongerhaveshorttermcontrolwillberelaxedflukeChina'shousingpricesshouldbebasedonlongterm,notintheshortterm,viciousoverdraftfuturedevelopmentThegovernmentwillpromoteeconomicgrowthbystimulatingpolicytogrowindependentlyandorderlytransition,inordertomakethenationaleconomycontinuetowardstheexpecteddirectionofmacrocontrol,showingrapidgrowth,pricestabilization,betterefficiency,improvepeople'slivelihoodandgoodpostureThat'sthegeneraltoneButChinarealestatebecauseofthespecialcharacteristicsoftheindustry,tostimulatepolicystillhasalongwaytogo,althoughthedevelopmentofspaceChineserealestatemarketwillalsohavealongerperiod,butduetoalargenumberoftheconstructionofaffordablehousing,thedevelopmentspeedoftherealestateindustryandthedevelopmentofthestructurewillbeunliketheprevioustenyearsThefuturedevelopmentofkeyChinahousingpricesisveryimportanttoclearpolicyisexpectedtogotheroadoftransitionstructure,theprimaryresponsibilityChinarealestatemanagementinthefuture,therealestatemarketistopromotethehealthyandstabledevelopmentThisisnotonlyareasonablereturnofChina'shousingprices,butalsoareasonablereturnofChina'srealestateindustry!Review:

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