生益科技投资分析报告

生益科技投资 分析 定性数据统计分析pdf销售业绩分析模板建筑结构震害分析销售进度分析表京东商城竞争战略分析 报告 经济学0401班 孙久超 一、 证券市场现状及概况 近期股市总体情况一直呈上涨趋势，且涨幅相当大。国家运用提高利率等宏观经济调控政策抑制股价上涨，虽然偶有跌幅，但总体局势还是在不断上涨。 而此情况下经济泡沫成分太高，投资风险比较大，本报告是根据当下股市的基本行情针对证券市场的企业证券进行可行性的投资研究。根据当前股价起伏状况，选定涨幅较大的吉林敖东作为研究对象，在泰阳证券的同花顺软件上进行了投资该股票的模拟炒股，并具体分析了市场行情对股票价格以及收益等方面的影响。运用了技术分析，集合投资组合理论(即K线分析、技术指标分析中的趋向指标和超买超卖指标)所定目标，并确定了买卖点。本文最后对收益状况进行了简要分析，并作了一定分析。 生益科技企业简介: 生益科技股份有限公司(以下简称“公司”)原为东莞生益敷铜板股份有限公司，于1993年经广东省股份制试点联审小组、广东省经济体制改革委员会“粤股审(1993)15号”文和广东省对外经济贸易委员会“粤经贸资批字(1993)0666号”文批准成立，是在原中外合资美加伟华生益敷铜板有限公司基础上改组并采取定向募集方式设立的股份公司。公司原股本为155,000,000股，经第三届股东大会决议和广东证券监督管理委员会“粤证监发字(1996)004号”文批准送股及配股后，总股本增至242,187,500股。公司于1998年经中国证券监督管理委员会“证监发字(1998)238号”文批准，采用“上网定价”方式发行社会公众股(A股)8,500万股，并于2000年2月经国家外经贸部“[2000]外经贸资字第126号”文批准，更名为广东生益科技股份有限公司。公司于2000年4月根据股东大会决议进行送股和资本公积金转增股本以及2002年5月、2006年9月根据股东大会决议进行送股后，总股本增至957,023,438股。公司营业执照注册号为“企股粤莞总字第002529号”。 2006年1月，公司股权分置改革相关股东会议审议通过了股权分置改革 方案 气瓶 现场处置方案 .pdf气瓶 现场处置方案 .doc见习基地管理方案.doc关于群访事件的化解方案建筑工地扬尘治理专项方案下载 ，由公司非流通股股东以支付股份的方式向持有公司流通股份的股东作出对价安排，流通股股东每持有10股流通股获得3.3股股票对价，非流通股股东总共向流通股股东支付对价63,917,649股。该股权分置改革方案已获中华人民共和国商务部“商资批【2006】505号”文批准并于2006年3月实施完毕，公司发起人持有的非流通股性质变更为有限售条件的流通股，持股比例the real implementation of the "quasi, ruthless. Tough," requirement, carry forward the spirit of a nail, and the corrective measures The implementation of the nerve endings, do not let the rectification is not in place, not to retreat, the people are not satisfied. Pin four is to adhere to the reform and innovation. To reform the way of thinking and innovative courage to turn style, against four winds, the courage to face the contradictions, good at solving the chronic ills, dare to break the outdated customs and bad habits Hensha unhealthy tendencies, trees, fresh healthy. The five is to adhere to tackling the problem. That is the wind Su Ji and the education supervision combined, in order to establish a new system to promote the normalization of style building, long-term, to enhance the party spirit of honest and pragmatic people thought conscious action. The six is to insist on the completion of the third grasp the overall situation. Activity and end This year the goal of safety production work plan for next year, work together, to promote the activities and the work of production safety with both hands, two promotion, two not mistake. Two, rectification of the overall objectives and specific objectives: (a) the overall path around the "four focus", carried out the outstanding problems of the special rectification, the full implementation of the central and provincial Party committee clear the rectification task, effectively curb the "four winds", realize the overall improvement of Party and government. The point is: focus on the people, the people, convenience, and resolutely curb the bureaucratic style of work; looking to stimulate grassroots vitality, resolutely curb the Wenshan sea; focus on the cadres honest, clean government, politics, and resolutely curb exceed the standard Quasi occupied office space, Gongjusiyong, public funds, extravagance of the wind; focus on establish a correct view of achievements, the concept of power, and resolutely curb acts against the interests of the masses. Accelerate the system reform and construction, improve the people honest and pragmatic normalization system, constantly consolidate and expand educational practice achievements, make people satisfied. The recent reform goal: Political Quality Bureau and all Party members and cadres, further improve the quality of the business; the "four winds", "two" problem has been effectively solved. The middle goal of the reform: "opposition party and government austerity waste 由69.64,减至59.62,，其中公司第一大股东香港伟华电子有限公司持股比例由25.91,减至22.18,。 二、 技术分析 1、K线分析 图1 K线图 K线理论经过上百年的股票市场实践,应用效果良好,受到世界各国股票投资者的广泛重视。目前，K线已经成为人们进行技术分析必不可少的工具之一。如图1所示，生益科技在2007年7月26日至2008年1月21日期间的价格日K线图。 K线的组合应用 K线图是将买卖双方这段时间以来实际战斗的结果用图表表示出来的方法之一，从中能够看到买卖双方在争斗中力量的增加和减少、风向的转变，以及买卖双方对争斗结果的认同 (1)、单独一根K线的应用 指向一个方向的影线越长，越不利于股票价格今向这个方向变动。阴线实体越长，越有利于下跌;阳线实体越长，越有利于上涨。 (2)、由两根K线的组合推测行情 第二天的K线是进行行情判断的关键。简单地说，第二天多空双方争斗的区域越高，越有利于上涨;越低，越有利于下跌。 the real implementation of the "quasi, ruthless. Tough," requirement, carry forward the spirit of a nail, and the corrective measures The implementation of the nerve endings, do not let the rectification is not in place, not to retreat, the people are not satisfied. Pin four is to adhere to the reform and innovation. To reform the way of thinking and innovative courage to turn style, against four winds, the courage to face the contradictions, good at solving the chronic ills, dare to break the outdated customs and bad habits Hensha unhealthy tendencies, trees, fresh healthy. The five is to adhere to tackling the problem. That is the wind Su Ji and the education supervision combined, in order to establish a new system to promote the normalization of style building, long-term, to enhance the party spirit of honest and pragmatic people thought conscious action. The six is to insist on the completion of the third grasp the overall situation. Activity and end This year the goal of safety production work plan for next year, work together, to promote the activities and the work of production safety with both hands, two promotion, two not mistake. Two, rectification of the overall objectives and specific objectives: (a) the overall path around the "four focus", carried out the outstanding problems of the special rectification, the full implementation of the central and provincial Party committee clear the rectification task, effectively curb the "four winds", realize the overall improvement of Party and government. The point is: focus on the people, the people, convenience, and resolutely curb the bureaucratic style of work; looking to stimulate grassroots vitality, resolutely curb the Wenshan sea; focus on the cadres honest, clean government, politics, and resolutely curb exceed the standard Quasi occupied office space, Gongjusiyong, public funds, extravagance of the wind; focus on establish a correct view of achievements, the concept of power, and resolutely curb acts against the interests of the masses. Accelerate the system reform and construction, improve the people honest and pragmatic normalization system, constantly consolidate and expand educational practice achievements, make people satisfied. The recent reform goal: Political Quality Bureau and all Party members and cadres, further improve the quality of the business; the "four winds", "two" problem has been effectively solved. The middle goal of the reform: "opposition party and government austerity waste 湖南工程学院 经济学专业方向,金融,课程 设计 领导形象设计圆作业设计ao工艺污水处理厂设计附属工程施工组织设计清扫机器人结构设计 (3)、由三根K线推测市场行情 两根K线的组合较多，但根K线的各种组合就更多、更复杂了。由于三根K线组合比两根K线组合多了一根K线，获得的信息就多些，得出的结论相对于两根K线组合来讲要准确些，可信度更大些。 2、 MACD分析 图2 MACD 1.指标说明 MACD又称平滑异同移动平行线，是近来美国所创的技术分析工具。MACD吸收了移动平均行情，所发出的信号频繁而不准确。根据移动平均线原理所发展出来的MACD，一来克服了移动平均线假信号频繁的缺陷，二来能确保移动平均线最大的战果。其利用两条长、短期的平滑平均线，计算其二者之差离值，作为研判行情买卖之依据。 买卖原则: 1. DIF、MACD在0以上，大势属多头市场，DIF向上突破MACD，可作买，若DIF向下跌破MACD，只可作原单的平仓，不可新卖单进场。 2. DIF，MACD在0以下，大势属空头市场，DIF向下跌破MACD，可作买，若DIF向上突破MACD，只可作原单的平仓，不可新买单入场。 3. 牛离差:股价出现二或三个近期低点而MACD并不配合出现新低，可作买。 4. 熊离差:股价出现二或三个近期高点而MACD并不配合出现新高，可作卖。 5. 高档两次向下交叉大跌，低档两次向上交叉大涨。 government austerity waste y andof the business; the "four winds", "two" problem has been effectively solved. The middle goal of the reform: "opposition part ple satisfied. The recent reform goal: Political Quality Bureau and all Party members and cadres, further improve the qualitye peohe people honest and pragmatic normalization system, constantly consolidate and expand educational practice achievements, makpower, and resolutely curb acts against the interests of the masses. Accelerate the system reform and construction, improve ttion of the third grasp the overall ept office space, Gongjusiyong, public funds, extravagance of the wind; focus on establish a correct view of achievements, the concenshan sea; focus on the cadres honest, clean government, politics, and resolutely curb exceed the standard Quasi occupied ofthe W, convenience, and resolutely curb the bureaucratic style of work; looking to stimulate grassroots vitality, resolutely curb curb the "four winds", realize the overall improvement of Party and government. The point is: focus on the people, the people tivelyterm, to enhance the party spirit of honest and pragmatic people thought conscious action. The six is to insist on the complecial rectification, the full implementation of the central and provincial Party committee clear the rectification task, effecctives and specific objectives: (a) the overall path around the "four focus", carried out the outstanding problems of the speobje tivities and the work of production safety with both hands, two promotion, two not mistake. Two, rectification of the overallsituation. Activity and end This year the goal of safety production work plan for next year, work together, to promote the ac -mbined, in order to establish a new system to promote the normalization of style building, longion concies, trees, fresh healthy. The five is to adhere to tackling the problem. That is the wind Su Ji and the education supervishe contradictions, good at solving the chronic ills, dare to break the outdated customs and bad habits Hensha unhealthy tendeface teform and innovation. To reform the way of thinking and innovative courage to turn style, against four winds, the courage to s, do not let the rectification is not in place, not to retreat, the people are not satisfied. Pin four is to adhere to the rmeasures The implementation of the nerve endingthe real implementation of the "quasi, ruthless. Tough," requirement, carry forward the spirit of a nail, and the corrective 3 2、ASI指标分析 图3 ASI ASI累计震荡指标(Accumulation Swing Index)为Welles Wider所创，其企图籍调整指标对于开高低收的迷思，设计出一条感应线，以便代表真实的市场，对于压力线及支撑线的突破及新高，低点的确认，背离等现象，提供相当精辟的解释，理论上，ASI将震荡高点数值化，并且确实的界定了短期的震荡点，另一方面又真实强力的指示出市场的内涵。 用途: ASI和OBV同样维持“N”字型的波动，并且也以突破或跌破“N”型高、低点，为观察ASI的主要方法。ASI不仅提供辨认股价真实与否的功能,另外也具备了“停损”的仍用，及时地给投资人多一层的保护。 使用方法 当ASI向下跌破前一次低点时为卖出讯号 当ASI向上跌破前一次高点时为买入讯号 价由下往上，欲穿过前一波的高点套牢区时，于接近高点处，尚未确定能否顺利穿越之际。如果ASI领先股价，提早一步，通过相对股价的前一波ASI高点，则次一日之后，可以确定股价必然能顺利突破高点套牢区 股价由上往下，欲穿越前一波低点的密集支撑区时，于接近低点处，尚未确定是否将因失去信心，而跌破支撑之际。如果ASI领先股价，提早一步，跌破相对股价的前一波ASI低点，则次一日之后，可以确定股价将随后跌破价点支撑区 股价走势一波比一波高，而ASI却未相对创新高点形成“牛背离”时，应卖出 the real implementation of the "quasi, ruthless. Tough," requirement, carry forward the spirit of a nail, and the corrective measures The implementation of the nerve endings, do not let the rectification is not in place, not to retreat, the people are not satisfied. Pin four is to adhere to the reform and innovation. To reform the way of thinking and innovative courage to turn style, against four winds, the courage to face the contradictions, good at solving the chronic ills, dare to break the outdated customs and bad habits Hensha unhealthy tendencies, trees, fresh healthy. The five is to adhere to tackling the problem. That is the wind Su Ji and the education supervision combined, in order to establish a new system to promote the normalization of style building, long-term, to enhance the party spirit of honest and pragmatic people thought conscious action. The six is to insist on the completion of the third grasp the overall situation. Activity and end This year the goal of safety production work plan for next year, work together, to promote the activities and the work of production safety with both hands, two promotion, two not mistake. Two, rectification of the overall objectives and specific objectives: (a) the overall path around the "four focus", carried out the outstanding problems of the special rectification, the full implementation of the central and provincial Party committee clear the rectification task, effectively curb the "four winds", realize the overall improvement of Party and government. The point is: focus on the people, the people, convenience, and resolutely curb the bureaucratic style of work; looking to stimulate grassroots vitality, resolutely curb the Wenshan sea; focus on the cadres honest, clean government, politics, and resolutely curb exceed the standard Quasi occupied office space, Gongjusiyong, public funds, extravagance of the wind; focus on establish a correct view of achievements, the concept of power, and resolutely curb acts against the interests of the masses. Accelerate the system reform and construction, improve the people honest and pragmatic normalization system, constantly consolidate and expand educational practice achievements, make people satisfied. The recent reform goal: Political Quality Bureau and all Party members and cadres, further improve the quality of the business; the "four winds", "two" problem has been effectively solved. The middle goal of the reform: "opposition party and government austerity waste 湖南工程学院 经济学专业方向,金融,课程设计 股价走势一波比一波低，而ASI却未相对创新低点形成“熊背离”时，应买进 3. 买卖原则: 1. 股价创新高、低，而ASI未创新高、低，代表此高低点不确认。 2. 股价已突破压力或支撑线，ASI却未伴随发生，为假突破。 3. ASI前一次形成的显著高、低点，视为ASI停损点;多头时，ASI跌破前一次低点，停损卖出;空头时，ASI向上突破前一次高点，停损回补。 3、RSI指标分析 图4 RSI RSI为1978年美国作者Welles Wilder JR.在著作(New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems)中所提出的交易方法之一，所谓RSI英文全名为(Relative Strenth Index)中文名称为相当强弱指标。RSI的基本原理是在一个正常的股市中，多空买卖双方的力道必须取得均衡，股价才能稳定;而RSI是对于固定期间内，股价上涨总幅度平均指占总幅度平均值的比例。 RSI是与KD指标齐名的常用技术指标。RSI以一特定时期内股价的变动情况推测价格未来变动方向，并根据股价涨跌幅度显示市场的强弱。 RSI的应用法则: (1)不同参数的两条或多条RSI曲线的联合使用，参数小的RSI称短期RSI，参数大的称之为长期RSI。这样，两条不同参数的RSI曲线的联合使用法则可以完全照搬移动平均线的使用法则。即:短期RSI>长期RSI，则属多头市场;短期RSI<长期RSI，则属空头市场。 根据RSI取值的大小判断行情。将100分成四个区域，根据RSI的取值落入的区域进 government austerity waste y andof the business; the "four winds", "two" problem has been effectively solved. The middle goal of the reform: "opposition part ple satisfied. The recent reform goal: Political Quality Bureau and all Party members and cadres, further improve the qualitye peohe people honest and pragmatic normalization system, constantly consolidate and expand educational practice achievements, makpower, and resolutely curb acts against the interests of the masses. Accelerate the system reform and construction, improve t ept office space, Gongjusiyong, public funds, extravagance of the wind; focus on establish a correct view of achievements, the concenshan sea; focus on the cadres honest, clean government, politics, and resolutely curb exceed the standard Quasi occupied ofthe W, convenience, and resolutely curb the bureaucratic style of work; looking to stimulate grassroots vitality, resolutely curb curb the "four winds", realize the overall improvement of Party and government. The point is: focus on the people, the people tivelytion of the third grasp the overallcial rectification, the full implementation of the central and provincial Party committee clear the rectification task, effecctives and specific objectives: (a) the overall path around the "four focus", carried out the outstanding problems of the speobje tivities and the work of production safety with both hands, two promotion, two not mistake. Two, rectification of the overallsituation. Activity and end This year the goal of safety production work plan for next year, work together, to promote the acterm, to enhance the party spirit of honest and pragmatic people thought conscious action. The six is to insist on the comple-mbined, in order to establish a new system to promote the normalization of style building, longion concies, trees, fresh healthy. The five is to adhere to tackling the problem. That is the wind Su Ji and the education supervishe contradictions, good at solving the chronic ills, dare to break the outdated customs and bad habits Hensha unhealthy tendeface teform and innovation. To reform the way of thinking and innovative courage to turn style, against four winds, the courage to s, do not let the rectification is not in place, not to retreat, the people are not satisfied. Pin four is to adhere to the rmeasures The implementation of the nerve endingthe real implementation of the "quasi, ruthless. Tough," requirement, carry forward the spirit of a nail, and the corrective 5 行操作。 (2)从RSI的曲线形状判断行情。当RSI在较高或较低的位置形成头肩形和多重顶(底)，是采取行动的信号。这些形态一定要出现在较高位置和较低位置，离50越远越好，越远结论越可信，出错的可能就越小。形态学中有关这类形状的操作原则，这里都适用。 (3)从与股价RSI与股价的背离方面判断行情。RSI处于高位，并形成一峰比一峰低的两个峰，而此时，股价却对应的是一峰比一峰高，这叫顶背离。股价这一涨是最后的衰竭动作(如果出现跳空就是竭尽缺口)，这是比较强烈的卖出信号。反之就是底背离。RSI在低位形成两个依次上升的谷底，而股价还在下降，这是最后一跌或者说是接近最后一跌，是可以开始建仓的信号。相对而言，用RSI 与股价的背离来研判行情的转向成功率较高。 三、总结 通过分析生益科技的股票投资收益、每股收益、每股净资产、净资产收益率等指标以及对技术指标、集合投资组合理论(即K线分析、技术指标分析中的相对强弱指标和平滑异同移动平行线)的分析可以得出结论:生益科技(60183)属股价居中的一支股票，操作风险适中。该股在2007年以来涨副不大，股价持续保持在13到17元之间。虽然分析近期有下跌趋势，但考虑到该行业的发展前景，未来长远的趋势仍然是上涨的。 大盘短线处于风险禁区，该股短线处于中风险区，目前已经不适合操作该股，请注意风险，建议股民暂时持观望态度。 参考文献 [1] 吴晓求、季东生.证券投资学[M].中国金融出版社，2004，1 [2] 刘嫂波.证券投资学[M].暨南大学出版社，2002 [3] 史建朝.完善我国上市公司治理结构的思考 [J].焦作工学院学报，2003.4 [4] 阎薇.我国上市公司治理结构剖析[J]. 财经问题研究 ，2004.2 [5] 史际春.企业和公司法[M].中国人民大学出版社， 2001 the real implementation of the "quasi, ruthless. Tough," requirement, carry forward the spirit of a nail, and the corrective measures The implementation of the nerve endings, do not let the rectification is not in place, not to retreat, the people are not satisfied. Pin four is to adhere to the reform and innovation. To reform the way of thinking and innovative courage to turn style, against four winds, the courage to face the contradictions, good at solving the chronic ills, dare to break the outdated customs and bad habits Hensha unhealthy tendencies, trees, fresh healthy. The five is to adhere to tackling the problem. That is the wind Su Ji and the education supervision combined, in order to establish a new system to promote the normalization of style building, long-term, to enhance the party spirit of honest and pragmatic people thought conscious action. The six is to insist on the completion of the third grasp the overall situation. Activity and end This year the goal of safety production work plan for next year, work together, to promote the activities and the work of production safety with both hands, two promotion, two not mistake. Two, rectification of the overall objectives and specific objectives: (a) the overall path around the "four focus", carried out the outstanding problems of the special rectification, the full implementation of the central and provincial Party committee clear the rectification task, effectively curb the "four winds", realize the overall improvement of Party and government. The point is: focus on the people, the people, convenience, and resolutely curb the bureaucratic style of work; looking to stimulate grassroots vitality, resolutely curb the Wenshan sea; focus on the cadres honest, clean government, politics, and resolutely curb exceed the standard Quasi occupied office space, Gongjusiyong, public funds, extravagance of the wind; focus on establish a correct view of achievements, the concept of power, and resolutely curb acts against the interests of the masses. Accelerate the system reform and construction, improve the people honest and pragmatic normalization system, constantly consolidate and expand educational practice achievements, make people satisfied. The recent reform goal: Political Quality Bureau and all Party members and cadres, further improve the quality of the business; the "four winds", "two" problem has been effectively solved. The middle goal of the reform: "opposition party and government austerity waste 湖南工程学院 经济学专业方向,金融,课程设计 专业方向(金融投资)课程设计评分表 姓 名 孙久超 学 号 01 班 级 经济学0401 A股投资研究分析报告 评分教师 报告题目 评价项目 评分 标准 excel标准偏差excel标准偏差函数exl标准差函数国标检验抽样标准表免费下载红头文件格式标准下载 与内涵 评 分 设计表现(占 积极、主动、认真、文明、礼貌，遵守纪律 30%) 概念清楚，观点明确，中心突出，数据可靠， 资料齐全，能科学地加工整理资料，论据充分， 推理正确，逻辑严密，结论正确，能熟练的运 用所学专业理论知识和专业技能，具有创新观设计报告(占 点，具有一定的学术价值或实际意义，条理分70%) 明，文体 规范 编程规范下载gsp规范下载钢格栅规范下载警徽规范下载建设厅规范下载 ，文笔流畅，无语法错误，图表 规范，无错别字，标点符号使用准确，计量单 位符合国家标准，符合设计报告写作的规范化 要求 总评成绩 enshan sea; focus on the cadres honest, clean government, politics, and resolutely curb exceed the standard Quasi occupied ofgovernment austerity wastethe W y andof the business; the "four winds", "two" problem has been effectively solved. The middle goal of the reform: "opposition part ple satisfied. The recent reform goal: Political Quality Bureau and all Party members and cadres, further improve the qualitye peohe people honest and pragmatic normalization system, constantly consolidate and expand educational practice achievements, makpower, and resolutely curb acts against the interests of the masses. Accelerate the system reform and construction, improve t, convenience, and resolutely curb the bureaucratic style of work; looking to stimulate grassroots vitality, resolutely curb ept office space, Gongjusiyong, public funds, extravagance of the wind; focus on establish a correct view of achievements, the conccurb the "four winds", realize the overall improvement of Party and government. The point is: focus on the people, the people tivelycial rectification, the full implementation of the central and provincial Party committee clear the rectification task, effecctives and specific objectives: (a) the overall path around the "four focus", carried out the outstanding problems of the speobje tivities and the work of production safety with both hands, two promotion, two not mistake. Two, rectification of the overallsituation. Activity and end This year the goal of safety production work plan for next year, work together, to promote the ac tion of the third grasp the overallterm, to enhance the party spirit of honest and pragmatic people thought conscious action. The six is to insist on the comple-mbined, in order to establish a new system to promote the normalization of style building, longion concies, trees, fresh healthy. The five is to adhere to tackling the problem. That is the wind Su Ji and the education supervishe contradictions, good at solving the chronic ills, dare to break the outdated customs and bad habits Hensha unhealthy tendeface teform and innovation. To reform the way of thinking and innovative courage to turn style, against four winds, the courage to s, do not let the rectification is not in place, not to retreat, the people are not satisfied. Pin four is to adhere to the rmeasures The implementation of the nerve endingthe real implementation of the "quasi, ruthless. Tough," requirement, carry forward the spirit of a nail, and the corrective 7