科尔尼：中国物流现状和发展趋势

੔ܻ౅69 ዐࡔ࿿ୁ၄ጒࢅ݀ቛ൵๞� ĊĊ2009౎ዐࡔ࿿ୁֱۙჺ৯ ०঻ ዐࡔঢ়षᅙደօ࣮౱Ljڍට்ܔፌৎڦඇ ൰ঢ়षླऐධ႐ᆶᇆशă৑࠶࿄ઠڦঢ়षႚ๞ ጽၠవᅜᇨ֪Ljڍᆶᅃۅ੗ᅜ੝ۨڦ๟ǖሞዐ ࡔLjഓᄽփీৈৈᅈડྔև๨ׇڦփ܏ሺ׊ઠ ླྀۯሺ׊LjܸᆌଁࡻĐాࠀđLj༵ߛഓᄽሏᆐ ၳ୲ઠᆌܔනᅮՎࣅڦྔևঢ়ष࣍ৣăྺُLj ߳ٷഓᄽփڥփፔ؜߳ዖड़వڦਦ֧LjԲස዆ ሰഓᄽՂႷۙኝׂీڦሺ׊໏܈Ljܸࠃᆌฆᄲ ஢ፁਜ਼ࢽইॏڦᄲ൱ăໜጣၨଉڦ३ณ,�ੰ٪ ሺे , �ׯԨฉื , �ࠃᆌ૾௬ଣڦუ૰ॽᇑනਓ ሺ,�Đኻᄲิׂ৽ࣷጲ඗ټઠၨ๳đڦ൧ৠምᄺ փࣷ׼Ⴤăྺକ๢ᆌ࿄ઠڦዮܠփඓۨᅺ໎Lj ࠃᆌ૾ՂႷਏԢଳऄĂ৛०ࢅᆫࣅڦ༬ۅăܸ ዐࡔഓᄽణമ໯௬ଣڦ࠲॰࿚༶ᆶǖഓᄽڦࠃ ᆌ૾ሞ৪ኛዐڦ՗၄සࢆǛසࢆᆫࣅ੺໏ሺ׊ ้೺ॺ૬ഐઠڦࠃᆌ૾ྪஏǛᆌړ዆ۨనၵࠃ ᆌ૾݀ቛڦ׊೺቟୼Ǜසࢆሞྼဣ၄ᆶڦਜ਼ࢽ ඖࢅᆶၳ੦዆ࠃᆌ૾ׯԨڦമ༵ူ༵ߛޜခ຤ ೝǛഓᄽ๟ޏᆛᆶକࢇ૙ڦࠃᆌ૾ፇኯǛ ྺକศ෇କ঴ዐࡔഓᄽڦࠃᆌ૾၄ጒLjཞ षٷბඇ൰ࠃᆌ૾࠶૙ঞဝᇑ੔ܻ౅ࠅິࠌཞ ፇኯକĐ2009౎ዐࡔ࿿ୁֱۙđă ዐࡔ࿿ୁ၄ጒࢅ݀ቛ൵๞� ੔ܻ౅ ੔ܻ౅ஃ٘ A.T.�KEARNEY�FORUM 6: ֱُْۙᇑৎ೺ᆯ੔ܻ౅ࢅ౹ዞ࿿ୁၹ ࣷሞ౹ዞ18߲ࡔॆࠌཞፇኯ݀՗ڦֱۙૌຼǖ Đඇ൰ঢ়षླऐူڦࠃᆌ૾đă޿૴ࢇֱۙᆯ ੔ܻ౅ᇑ౹ዞ࿿ୁၹࣷᇀ1982౎๯ْഔۯLjԨ ْᅙ๟ڼୃাă޿ֱ้ۙੵ27౎Lj๭णࢅೠࠚ କ౹ዞࠃᆌ૾ሞُ೺क़ڦ݀ቛՎࣅLjُڪᅃဣ ଚֱۙ໯༵ࠃڦ߳ዖศ܈९঴๟ങৃඪࢆഄ໱ ڦ࿿ୁࠃᆌ૾ჺ৯ۼ࿮݆Բెڦăֱۙ໯ሏᆩ ڦ߳ዖݛ݆Ăጮဦླྀുڦֱۙ࿚ਝᅜत໯֑ᆩ ڦएԨݴဆ߾ਏۼᅙঢ়ࡗݒްํ७ኤ௽๟ᆶၳ ڦLj൐ԥ߳ٷࠅິ࠽ྺණ੗ă 2009౎ዐࡔ࿿ୁֱۙ๟޿ૌֱۙዐڼᅃ߲ ௬ၠዐࡔڦჺ৯ă޿ֱ֑ۙᆩକ౹ዞჺ৯ڦݛ ݆ᇑݴဆᇱ૙Ljڍዘႎยऺ࿚ਝᅜ৛ඓվइዐ ࡔഓᄽࠃᆌ૾ࢅ࿿ୁڦ༬ኙăֱۙࡥ߃କ࢙ੵ ୃٷႜᄽڦሀ100ॆփཞࡀఇࢅ໯ᆶ඄঳ࠓڦഓ ᄽ�DŽ֖९཮1Džă ԨԒߢူᅃব׃ຎକֱُْۙڦ࠲॰݀၄ ᅜतᇑ౹ዞཞႜڦ჋ስႠܔՔڦ঳ࡕăፌࢫLj ࿢்ॽ०ᄲں༪ஃഓᄽᆌሹᄣ૧ᆩֱۙ঳ࡕᅜ Ӏ݆ୱत໯ᆶ඄঳ࠓࣄݴ֖ᇑۙჺڦഓᄽ — 2009 ౎ Ӏႜᄽࣄݴ֖ᇑۙჺڦഓᄽ — 2009౎ ڼෙݛ࿿ୁ ଭ๳ᇑ಼݀ 8% ഛכ11% ࣅ߾ ᅅᄱ ۉጱߛ੔र ၩݯ೗ ߾ᄽᆩ೗28% WFOE DŽྔฆ܀ጨഓᄽDž ࡔాຳᆐഓᄽ ࡔᆶഓᄽ ዐ/ྔࢇጨ ഓᄽ ࡔాሞࣀ ࢇጨഓᄽ 8% 11% 17% 34% 29% 8% 11% 14% 34% 29% 17% 3% ߀৊ጲวڦࠃᆌ૾࠶૙຤ೝă ࠲॰݀၄ ֱۙ঳ࡕ၂๖ǖኝ༹ܸჾLjዐࡔڦഓᄽሞ ࠃᆌ૾࠶૙ฉධᇑፌॅํ७٪ሞጣ၂ዸֶਐLj ڍሞగၵݛ௬ᅙঢ়থৎฯ዁גࡗକ౹ዞڦഓ ᄽăഄዐዷᄲ݀၄සူǖ 1.� ᆯᇀਜ਼ࢽܔࠃᆌ૾ڦᄲ൱ሺे,�ࠃᆌ૾ ࠶૙ڦዘᄲႠᇠ݀၂ዸ,�ٝ๑߳ഓᄽॽࠃᆌ૾࠶ ૙༵዁߸ߛڦ቟୼֫௬ă ໜጣዐࡔঢ়षڦ݀ቛLjਜ਼ࢽᄺՎڥሁઠሁ ׯຄLj֑ࠔՔጚᄺփምၟᅜྫఫᄣৈڇكں࠲ ጀׂ೗ڦॏ߭ăኄᅃۅሞࠃᆌ૾ଶᇘᄺཞᄣኟ ඓăჺ৯݀၄֖ᇑֱۙڦഓᄽ࿄ઠ5౎ڦ֑ࠔՔ ጚॽ௬ଣଇ߲ዷᄲՎࣅăഄᅃLjׂ೗ॏ߭ڦዘ ᄲײ܈ॽူইሀ15%;�ഄܾ,�஢ፁਜ਼ࢽܔࠃᆌ૾ Ⴔ൱ڦዘᄲႠॽ၂ዸ༵ืLjሀྺ14%ăਏ༹ܸ ჾLjሞ໯ᆶࠃᆌ૾Ⴔ൱ዐLjׂ೗ڦໜ้੗इڥ Ⴀᇑ۩ڇྜׯڦ੗੍Ⴀԥ๫ྺଇ߲ፌዘᄲڦᅺ ཮2ǖ֖ᇑֱۙഓᄽڦ߁઄ ੔ܻ౅71 ໎�DŽ֖९཮2Džă ᅺُLj߸ܠڦࠅິॽࠃᆌ૾࠶૙๫ྺᅃ߲ ቟୼ኰీLjժሺेഄ܌೺ኰሴă࿄ઠ࿵౎71% ڦഓᄽDŽ၎ܔᇀణമڦ49%Džණྺࠃᆌ૾࠶૙ ևோڦኰሴᆌԈઔࠃᆌ૾቟୼዆ۨĂཨጨਦ֧ ᅜतࠃᆌ૾࠶૙ڦITဣཥਦ֧ڪă޿঳ࡕᇑ࿢ ்ܔ౹ዞഓᄽڦჺ৯݀၄ᅃዂǖ቟୼Ă॔੦ᅜ तࡀࣄԥ๫ྺࠃᆌ૾࠶૙ևோፌ೨ൎႴᄲࡥ߃ ڦኰሴă 2.� ඗ܸLjࠃᆌ૾࠶૙ᇑഓᄽኝ༹቟୼٪ሞ ྃবă໚඗ٷܠຕ֖ᇑֱۙڦഓᄽ֑ᆩକĐߛ ׯԨߛॏኵđڦׂ೗ᇑࠃᆌ૾቟୼Ljڍࠃᆌ૾ ڦ๭ᅮ࣏๟ዷᄲઠጲׯԨ࠶੦ฉ�ă 51%ڦ֖ᇑֱۙڦഓᄽ՗๖ॽᄽခዘۅݣ ሞକׂ೗ۨ዆ฉLj68%ڦഓᄽሶᅜ༵ߛܔਜ਼ࢽ Ⴔ൱ڦଳऄႠᇑݒᆌీ૰ྺዘ႐ă�ܾኁۼ๟ۆ ႙ڦߛॏኵߛׯԨ቟୼LjᇑگׯԨگॏኵ቟୼ ໯༹၄ڦՔጚࣅࢅവଳऄڦׂ೗ࢅޜခኟࡻ၎ ܔăڍࠃᆌ૾࠶૙ڦዷᄲ๭ᅮඐणዐሞׯԨڦ (%՗๖߳ࠔசՔጚڦዘᄲײ܈Վࣅ୲) ਜ਼ࢽܔࠃᆌ૾ڦᄲ൱၄ሞᇑ 2013౎ਜ਼ࢽࠔசՔጚڦՎࣅ ׂ೗ዊଉׂ೗ॏ߭ ׂ೗Ⴀీ ࠃᆌ૾ ᄲ൱ ᆌᆩ रຍኧ׼ / ዘᄲႠ ዘᄲײ܈ 2013౎DŽᇨ֪Džړമ 2013ړമ ߛگ ੗׼ჄႠႴ൱ ۩ڇྜׯڦ੗੍Ⴀ ׂ೗ໜ้੗इڥႠ ୟ၍჋ስई൶ᇘ ದዃᄲ൱ ڑႠĂਜ਼ࢽࣅ ۨ዆ᄲ൱ -15.3% 0.0% 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 3.1% 4.8% 13.6% ཮3ǖਜ਼ࢽࠔசՔጚՎࣅࢅਜ਼ࢽܔࠃᆌ૾ڦᄲ൱ বሀܸփ๟ޜခ຤ೝڦ༵ืă ཮3၂๖؜࿿ୁׯԨᇑੰ٪ڦইگ๟ࠃᆌ૾ ࠶૙ፌٷڦଇ߲ၳᆩLjথጣ֍๟ܔਜ਼ࢽႴ൱ڦ ݒᆌీ૰ڦሺഽă ཮4ǖࠃᆌ૾࠶૙ׂิڦၳࡕ ࠃᆌ૾ׂิڦ๭ᅮ ߛॏኵߛׯԨ๭ᅮ گׯԨ๭ᅮ 49% 29% 13% 41% 36% 55% 57% ሺ े ܔ ਜ਼ ࢽ Ⴔ ൱ ڦ ݒ ᆌ ీ ૰ ই گ ದ ໃ ዜ ೺ ༵ ߛ ದ ໃ ੗ ੍ Ⴀ ༵ ߛ ׂ ೗ ዊ ଉ ᆐ ሏ ጨ Ԩ ၳ ୲ ই گ ੰ ٪ ই گ ࿿ ୁ ׯ Ԩ ዐࡔ࿿ୁ၄ጒࢅ݀ቛ൵๞� ੔ܻ౅ ੔ܻ౅ஃ٘ A.T.�KEARNEY�FORUM 72 3.� ࢔ܠዐࡔഓᄽᅙᆛᆶକࡔाࣅڦࠃᆌ ૾ă඗ܸLjኻᆶփڟ20%ڦഓᄽණྺణമጒ઄ ీࠕ஢ፁ࡛ྔਜ਼ࢽሞࠃᆌ૾ଶᇘڦႴ൱Ljܸዷᄲ ᇱᅺ๟ඍ݄ᇑࠃᆌฆࢅਜ਼ࢽڦፌएԨڦၹፕă 72%ڦ֖ᇑֱۙڦഓᄽۼᆛᆶକࡔाࣅڦ ࠃᆌ૾ă඗ܸLj78%ڦഓᄽڦ࡛ྔࠃᆌ૾ዷᄲ ๟ᆩᇀኧ׫ഄ኱থ؜੨ᄽခăഄ໱ࡔाႠڦࠃ ᆌ૾ᄽခऄۯሶ၎ܔডณLjഄዐԈઔ28%ڦࡔ ाሏᆐᄽခᅜत22%ڦࡔा֑ࠔᄽခă ໚඗؜੨ॏኵ૾ऄۯೕݏLjڍሞᆶ؜੨ᄽ ခڦዐࡔഓᄽዐᆶᇈ80%ڦഓᄽܔഄ஢ፁਜ਼ࢽ ࠃᆌ૾ፌएԨႴ൱ڦీ૰փ஢Ljසǖጚ้Ă৛ ඓڦׂ೗ದໃ�DŽ֖९཮4Džăኄዖփ஢ሞ߸ߛ܋ ڦਜ਼ࢽࠃᆌ૾Ⴔ൱ዐཞᄣ٪ሞLjසǖܔׂ೗Ք ጚࢅरຍࡀݔڦፏთLjڍᆯᇀ֖ᇑֱۙڦഓᄽ ණྺኄၵ߸ߛ܋ڦႴ൱ڦዘᄲႠሞ࿄ઠॽ၂ዸ ༵ߛLjኄၵႴ൱ᄺॽׯྺ߸ྺዘᄲڦ࠲ጀۅă ཞ้Lj࿢்ᄺጀᅪڟഓᄽᇑࠃᆌฆࢅਜ਼ࢽ ሞ߲߳࿃܈ڦၹፕۼݥ׉گăन๑ᅃၵएԨڦ ཮5ǖ࡛ྔࠃᆌ૾Ⴔ൱ࢅ஢ᅪ܈ ࡛ྔਜ਼ࢽڦ߳ၜᄲ൱ڦዘᄲႠࢅࠃᆌฆ ܔഄ஢ፁਜ਼ࢽႴ൱ײ܈ೠࠚ—2008 ࠅິܔ࡛ྔᄽခڦණኪ — 2008 ፌዘᄲ 1 2 3 4 5 6 փ஢ᅪഓᄽ ڦ቞Բ 92% 88% 83% 82% 81% 79% ༵ࠃ஢ᅪڦ๳ࢫޜခ ڦీ૰ ሞํ७֡ፕዐ֑భፌ ႎरຍڦీ૰ त้Ăጚඓڦ ದໃీ૰ Ӏቷࡀۨຕଉ༵ࠃׂ ೗ /ޜခڦీ૰ ༵ࠃਏᆶ৪ኛ૰ॏ߭ ڦీ૰ ஢ፁ༬ۨዊଉՔጚᇑ ߲Ⴀࣅᄲ൱ڦ ీ૰ (1)჋ስႠڦ࣮ݡ݀၄ࡔाᄽခ၎Բࡔాᄽခփᆕ૧ڦዷᄲᇱᅺྺࡔाᄽခ࢔ܠ๟ߑߑഐօLj৑࠶቟୼ฉๆݴዘᄲLjڍཨጨ ࣮Ԓධ඗تᇀ؛प঩܎ 20132008 ፌփዘᄲ ዘᄲײ܈ཞᅪײ܈ 20132008 փཞᅪ ཞᅪ ၎Բࡔా๨ׇ߸ ਏᆕ૧Ⴀ ጆྺ؜੨๨ׇย ऺĂิׂׂ೗ ࡛ྔ๨ׇ๟ᄽခ ڦዘᄲևݴ ؜੨๚࠲ጺ༹৪ ኛ૰ࢅิ٪ (1) (1) 1 2 3 4 5 6 ၹፕऄۯLjසǖੰ٪ຕ਍ࠌၛĂ૴ࢇၨ๳ᇨ֪ ࢅิׂ৊܈႑တࠌၛLjۼتᇀ࢔گڦ຤ೝă ኄഄํݒᆙ؜ᅃዖᅺࡕ࠲ဣăփీ؊ݴ஢ ፁਜ਼ࢽႴ൱ڦዷᄲᇱᅺ੗ీ๟ዐࡔഓᄽᇑഄਜ਼ ࢽኮक़ڦࠌཞၹፕࡗᇀԋෑăڍ੊୯ڟዐࡔഓ ᄽڦዷᄲၨ๳ർڢ๟኱থ؜੨Ljኄᄺ৽փፁྺ ആକăᆯᇀுᆶยวتںᇀړں࣍ৣLj໱்ܔ ᇀ࡛ྔਜ਼ࢽڦ૙঴Ղۨᆶ໯ਆ၌ă 4.� ᇑሏ๼၎࠲ڦޜခፌᆶ੗ీԥྔԈăڍ ๟֑ᆩĐߛׯԨߛॏኵđׂ೗ࢅࠃᆌ૾቟୼ڦ ഓᄽᇑ֑ᆩگׯԨ቟୼ڦഓᄽ၎ԲLjሞྔԈᄽ ခݛ௬߸ൡၠᇀాևঢ়ᆐࠃᆌ૾࠶૙ևோLj�ዷ ᄲᇱᅺሶ๟ྔևࠃᆌ๨ׇ࿮݆ٳڟഓᄽᇨ೺ڦ ޜခዊଉᄲ൱ă ֖ᇑֱۙڦഓᄽዐᆶ࢔ٷᅃևݴᅙॽࠃᆌ ૾ዐᇑሏ๼၎࠲ڦऄۯևݴईඇևྔԈDŽ֖९ ཮5Džăڍ๟Ljۆ႙ڦߛ޹ेኵޜခඐডณྔ ԈLjසǖ֞ئࢅԈጎڪă ଷྔLj �֑ᆩĐߛׯԨߛॏኵđ቟୼ڦഓ ੔ܻ౅73 ᄽDŽዘ๫ׂ೗ۨ዆ᇑଳऄڦࠃᆌ૾DžԲ֑ᆩگ ׯԨ቟୼ڦഓᄽDŽዘ๫ׂ೗Քጚࣅᇑׂీ૧ᆩ ୲Džሞԍାాևࠃᆌ૾࠶૙ևோڦൡၠႠฉᄲ ߛ؜ৎ50%ăཞ้Ljֱُْۙ঳ࡕᄺݒᆙ؜ഓ ᄽణമࢅ࿄ઠܔࠃᆌ૾ޜခฆሞ཈჋࿃܈ฉڦ Վࣅᅜतణമࠃᆌฆ༵ࠃڦޜခ຤ጚሞ߲߳཈ ჋࿃܈ฉ٪ሞڦֶਐLjස:ॏ߭Ă੗੍Ⴀࢅଳऄ ႠDŽ֖९཮6Džă 24% 27% 25% 31% 36% 36% 19% 0% 3% 7% 2.4 2.2 1.7 1.6 0.0 0.8 0.3 1.6 Ӏޜခࡥ߃ݔྷࣄݴLj௅߲֖ᇑ ഓᄽ๑ᆩྔև࿿ୁޜခฆڦೝ਩ ْຕ— 2008౎ Ӏୁײࣄݴࠃᆌ૾ڦྔԈ — 2008౎ 7% 22% 45% 10% 47% 11% 52% 21% 71% 46% 79% 52% 81% 57% 䚼ߚ໪ࣙ ໪ࣙ ݀೑ਸਏᇑᆌ๭ቭ੼ ۩ڇت૙ ITဣཥ ֞ئ Ԉጎ ాၠሏ๼ ൣ૙ ྔၠሏ๼ ۩ڇت૙ ITဣཥ ֞ئ Ԉጎ ాၠሏ๼ ൣ૙ ྔၠሏ๼ 0.3 2.20.6 3.10.3 2.8 5.54.7 6.85.2 7.86.1 10.17.9 12.39.9 ܼ⧗Փ⫼ ೑ݙՓ⫼ ཮6ǖࠃᆌ૾ྔԈ߁઄ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 +– ಇఁ ړമՔጚڦዘᄲႠ 2013౎ՔጚڦዘᄲႠDŽࠚऺDž ॏ߭ ੗੍Ⴀ ଳऄႠ/ਜ਼ࢽڞၠ ظႎీ૰ ׂ೗ޜခڦ࠽܈/ศ܈ ሺ׊ీ૰ ں૙ޮ߃ݔྷ ᄽज൧઄ ࢔஢ᅪ/ፌዘᄲփ஢ᅪ/ፌփዘᄲ ܔ࿿ୁ༵ࠃฆ஢ᅪ (1) ዘᄲႠǖྔԈޜခ༵ࠃฆ཈჋Քጚڦೝ਩ೠݴă1=“ፌփዘᄲ”Ǘ8=“ፌዘᄲ” (2) ஢ᅪǖܔྔԈޜခ༵ࠃฆ՗๖஢ᅪڦഓᄽԲ૩LjԈઔ“஢ᅪ”ࢅ“࢔஢ᅪ” ஢ᅪՔጚࢅړമՔጚኮक़ڦֶਐ ޜခฆ཈჋ྼ܈ڦዘᄲႠ(1) त߳ྼ܈ฉޜခฆڦਜ਼ࢽ஢ᅪՔጚ(2) —2008-2013౎࿿ୁჺ৯ ཮7ǖࠃᆌ૾Ⴔ൱ᇑޜခڦֶਐݴဆ ዐࡔ࿿ୁ၄ጒࢅ݀ቛ൵๞� ੔ܻ౅ ੔ܻ౅ஃ٘ A.T.�KEARNEY�FORUM 74 ኄ՗௽໚඗ഓᄽܔࠃᆌ૾ޜခྔԈڦ႗඀ ࢔ٷLjڍ๟ޜခࠃᆌฆ๟ޏᆶీ૰༵ࠃସට஢ ᅪڦޜခ๟ణമዷᄲڦ዆ሀᅺ໎ăᅺܸLjഓᄽ ߸൵ᇀྔԈఫၵ०ڇڦࢅ቟୼ዘᄲႠփٷڦޜ ခLjස:ሏ๼ă 5.� ዐࡔڦੰ٪ׯԨߛᇀ౹ዞܠຕႜᄽڦੰ ٪ׯԨLjڍణമڦዖዖगၡ՗௽࿄ઠዐ౹ኮक़ ڦֶਐᆶྭ໫܌ă ዐ౹߳ഓᄽሞੰ٪ׯԨݛ௬ᅈ඗٪ሞֶ ਐLjኄᄺᅪ࿆ጣُଶᇘ٪ሞ߀৊ڦയ૰ă཮7ྺ ߳ႜᄽڦ࿿ୁዷᄲׯԨڦܔԲăٗ཮՗ዐ੗ᅜ ੂ؜ሁ๟تᇀׂᄽ૾ฉᆴ࿋ዃڦഓᄽLjഄ֞ئ 7.5% 2.6% 1.8% 8.2% 3.9% 2.1% 2.2% 11.7% 5.5% 0.8% 2.2% 7.4% 4.8% 1.4% 1.2% 14.8% 5.9% 4.6% 4.0% ሏ๼ׯԨ ੰ٪ጨূׯԨ ֞ئׯԨ 3.1% 1.6% 0.3% 1.2% 3.3% 1.2% 1.3% 5.5% 3.0% 1.0% 1.5% 6.4% 3.9% 1.1% 3.1% 1.4% 5.8% 3.5% 1.2% 1.1% 4.3% ੰ٪ ၎࠲ ׯԨ ౹ ዞ ၩ ݯ ೗ ᄽ ዐ ࡔ ၩ ݯ ೗ ᄽ ౹ ዞ ࣅ ߾ ዐ ࡔ ࣅ ߾ ౹ ዞ ಼ ݀ ଭ ๳ ᄽ ౹ ዞ ഛ כ ᄽ ౹ ዞ ऐ ۉ ዐ ࡔ ऐ ۉ ዐ ࡔ ഛ כ ᄽ ዐ ࡔ ಼ ݀ ଭ ๳ ᄽ ཮8ǖ߳ႜᄽڦ࿿ୁዷᄲׯԨDŽ቞3119౎ၨଉڦԲ૩Dž ጺऺ ߾ᄽᆩ೗ ۉጱ ၩݯ೗ ഛכ ࣅ߾ᅅᄱၩݯ೗ ഛכ 2008 2013(ࠚऺDž2004 2008 2013(ࠚऺDž2004 48%45%40% 53% 47% 41% 56% 66% 55% 42% 37%36% 54% 43% 34% 26%29%28% 38%39% 44% 31%31%32% 31% 18% 31% 48% 53%56% 24% 39% 50% 59%59%63% ॺ૬ੰ٪ઠ஢ ፁ۩ڇႴ൱ DŽ቞ၨଉڦԲ ૩Dž Ӏ۩ڇิׂ DŽ቞ၨଉڦԲ ૩Dž ཮9ǖੰ٪࠶૙ݛ๕ڦՎࣅ! ੔ܻ౅75 ׯԨᄺሁߛLj૩සLjၩݯ೗ႜᄽڦ֞ئׯԨߛ ᇀଭ๳ᄽLjܸࣅ߾ᄽڦᆼᄲߛᇀၩݯ೗ႜᄽă ᆯُ੗९Ⴔ൱հۯ๟ዘᄲᅺ໎Ljܸኄዖઠጲਜ਼ ࢽႴ൱ڦհۯሁ๟ሞࠃᆌ૾ฉᆴሶሁྺ၂ዸă ኄምْഽۙକ࿢்മ௬ڦ࠵ۅǖኝཉࠃᆌ૾ฉ ڦၹፕᆶځेഽă ඗ܸLjՎ߫ኟൂ඗ܸ዁Ljٷܠຕ֖ᇑֱۙ ڦഓᄽDŽ83%Džॽٗཚᆩ႙ڦࠃᆌ૾቟୼ገၠ ֶᅴࣅڦੰ٪቟୼ăഄዐLjऋ࿿ዜገ୲Ăੰ٪ ॏኵतհۯႠׯྺֶᅴࣅፌྺ׉ᆩڦՔጚăଷ ྔLjٗӀੰ٪ิׂఇ๕ገၠӀ۩ڇิׂఇ๕ᅙ ๟ٷ๞໯൵ăස཮8໯๖Ljኄዖ൵๞ሞഛכĂ߾ ᄽᆩ೗Ăၩݯ೗ႜᄽଶᇘᆮྺ཭؜ăᅃၵ؛օ ڦኤ਍੗ኧ׼ฉຎ࠵ۅLj֖ᇑֱۙڦഓᄽڦೝ ਩ੰ٪ཀຕDŽԈઔׯ೗Ăሞ዆೗ࢅᇱ֌ଙDžٗ 2004౎ڦ109ཀই዁2008౎ڦ92ཀăߵ਍֖ᇑഓ ᄽڦ൧઄ઠੂLjপ዁2013౎Lj޿ၜኸՔᇨऺॽ ीჄူࣂ዁78ཀă ሞُႴᄲၭ႐ڦ๟Ljසࡕሞཚᆩ႙ڦࠃᆌ ૾ఇ๕ူLjڇكںገՎׯӀ۩ڇิׂڦఇ๕ժ փీഐڟํዊፕᆩLjᅺྺኄኻ๟ॽਜ਼ࢽႴ൱ڦ հۯၠኝ߲ࠃᆌ૾دڿăੰ٪၎࠲ׯԨᆶ੗ీ ࣷူۚLjڍኄ๟ᅜሏ๼ׯԨई዆ሰׯԨሺेྺ پॏઠํ၄ڦă 6.� ܠຕڦഓᄽᅙሏᆩࠃᆌ૾࠶૙जၳ੊ࢃ ߾ਏ߶ጷփཞڦዷᄲजၳኸՔLjڍ๟࢔ณഓᄽ ࣷॽኄၵኸՔᇑঃ૤༹ဣࠬࠍă ٷܠຕ֖ᇑֱۙڦഓᄽ૧ᆩᅙᆶڦ႑တဣ ཥઠ੊ࢃഄࠃᆌ૾࠶૙ڦजၳăڍ๟ኻᆶณຕ ڦࠅິࣷॽኄၵ࠲॰जၳኸՔᇑঃ૤༹ဣ၎૴ DŽ֖९཮9Džă૩සLj86%ڦഓᄽ߶ጷକጚ้ದ ໃ՗၄Ljڍ๟ৈ55%ڦഓᄽࣷॽ޿ኸՔᇑঃ૤ ༹ဣ၎૴ăኸՔᇑঃ૤ଇኁक़ඍ݄࠲૴੗ీڞ ዂഓᄽ࿮݆ཚࡗፌٷײ܈ฉࣩ݀࠲॰जၳኸՔ ڦፕᆩઠփ܏༵ืࠃᆌ૾जၳă 7.� ࠃᆌ૾࠶૙ටᇵڦጆᄽ຤ೝᅈ඗ᇺگᇀ ܠຕࠅິڦ೺ྭLjڍ๟ֶਐॽࣷ࢔੺໫ၭă ६ᇀฉຎڦ൵๞Ljਜ਼࠵ࠅኟڦઠຫሞዐࡔ ഄ໱ ၨ๳ᇨ֪ጚඓ܈ ࿿ୁׯԨ ጚ้ದໃ ၄ূዜገ೺ ੰ٪຤ೝ ፁܮದໃ ದໃ໦࣋୲ 86% 70% 67% 64% 60% 57% 36% 42% 40% 43% 6% 7% 33% 50% ཮:ǖࠃᆌ૾࠶૙࠲॰जၳኸՔǖ੊ࢃᇑঃ૤DŽ%پ՗቞໯ᆶ֖ᇑֱۙഓᄽڦԲ૩Dž ዐࡔ࿿ୁ၄ጒࢅ݀ቛ൵๞� ੔ܻ౅ ੔ܻ౅ஃ٘ A.T.�KEARNEY�FORUM 76 ሁઠሁܠڦഓᄽॽࠃᆌ૾๫ྺࠅິዘᄲڦᅃև ݴăڍ๟֖ᇑֱۙڦഓᄽዐኻᆶփڟᅃӷڦࠅ ິ՗๖ܔഄࠃᆌ૾ঢ়૙ڦरీݥ׉ڦ஢ᅪLjኄ ԈઔरຍरీĂၜణ࠶૙ీ૰Ăᄽခ࠶૙ጆᄽ ኪ๎Ă቟୼ᅜतፇኯጆᄽኪ๎ڪ࠽ݘڦాඹă ᅺُLj16%ڦࠅິထྭሞ2013౎ᅜമܔࠃᆌ૾ ࠶૙ኰ࿋ీቲ೘ڟ߸ߛბ૦ڦට֍DŽຬ๗ࢅձ ๗࿔ೞDžLjܸඁ౎ৈ9%ڦഓᄽᆶُᇼྭăኄۅ ࢅ౹ዞڦཞᄽ࢔փᅃᄣLj౹ዞڦഓᄽժ࿮ُᄲ ൱ăኄ՗௽ዐࡔڦഓᄽᅙණ๎ڟሞُଶᇘႴᄲ ٷ૰ืप໱்ڦට֍ئԢLjՆ௨ට֍࿚༶ׯྺ ࿄ઠፆҹഓᄽजၳ՗၄ڦᅃ߲೟ৡă 8.� ৑࠶௬ଣዖዖ཈቟Ljዐࡔڦഓᄽጺ༹ฉ ܔ࿄ઠ࿿ୁׯԨڦമৠԲডૂ࠵Ljኄዷᄲ๟ᅺ ྺഓᄽీࠕੂڟాև༵ืऐࣷă� ֱُْۙ঳ࡕ՗௽ዐࡔڦ࿿ୁᇑࠃᆌ૾ ௬ଣጣዚܠڦ཈቟ă૩සLjߛॏኵ൵ၠڦᄽခ Ⴔ൱ᇑࠃᆌ૾࠶૙ইگׯԨڦڞၠ࿮݆ၹۙᅃ ዂăᆯᇀࠃᆌ๨ׇڦփׯຄLj࿿ୁׯԨᅈ඗࢔ ߛLj൐ྔԈవ܈ٷăޜခฆํाీ૰گᇀᇨ ሏ๼ׯԨ ֞ئׯԨ ੰ٪቞ᆩ ጨԨ ࡗ้ੰ٪ڦ ጀၨׯԨ ࿿ୁ ࠶૙ݯᆩ ࿿ୁሺኵ ޜခ ొၠ࿿ୁ ੗ీႠডߛڦയሞ߀৊ऐࣷ ሺे ူই ాև ྔև ࿄ઠׯԨ Վࣅ ߵԨᇱᅺ 20.5% 79.5% 23.1% 76.9% 20.5% 79.5% 16.9% 83.1% 19.7% 80.3% 43.0% 57.0% 71.8% 28.2% 27.3% 72.7% 26.4% 73.6% 70.8% 29.2% 70.8% 29.2% 68.1% 31.9% 40.6% 82.9% 19.1% 77.2% 22.8% 59.4% 50.8% 49.2% ೺Ljܸړࠃᆌ૾ၠ࡛ྔჽฦ้Ljԋෑڦీ૰߸ ๟࿮݆ସට஢ᅪă ৑࠶ዐࡔ௬ଣዮܠڦ཈቟Ljڍዐࡔڦഓᄽ ܔ࿄ઠ࿿ୁׯԨമৠᅈ඗׼ૂ࠵ༀ܈ăස཮10 ໯๖Ljܠຕഓᄽණྺի૱ԗᅈ඗تᇀĐӷ஢ڦ ጒༀđLj໱்ੂڟሞدཥڦࠃᆌ૾࠶૙ଶᇘLj ස֞ئ࠶૙Ăੰ٪࠶૙ࢅ࿿ୁ࠶૙ڪ٪ሞጣٷ ଉڦ༵ืऐࣷă ူᅃօ Ԩӣೄກࣹጺକڼᅃֱْۙڦዷᄲჺ৯݀ ၄ă߳ࠅິ੗ሏᆩ޿ֱۙԒߢڦਏ༹݀၄ઠඓ ණഄࠃᆌ૾ኝ༹࠶૙ዐ٪ሞڦ߳ዖᆫଝ๞Ljई ๟ྺࠃᆌ૾ᇑ࿿ୁ࠶૙ݛၠڦ௽ඓࢅ࠽ݘڦਦ ֧༵ࠃएإ႑တă ܔᇀுᆶ֖ेܔՔLjڍᆶُႴ൱ڦࠅິLj ࣌ᆓ૴ဣ੔ܻ౅ࠅິLj࿢்ࣷྺࡍࠅິፕ؜၎ ᆌڦҾಇLjॽࡍࠅິ႑တభ෇࿢்ڦຕ਍ੰዐ ժኍܔࡍࠅິਏ༹ڦ൧઄዆ۨၘဦڦԒߢă ཮21ǖ࿄ઠׯԨՎࣅᅜतՎࣅڦߵԨᇱᅺDŽ3119.3124౎DžDŽ&پ՗቞໯ᆶ֖ᇑֱۙഓᄽڦԲ૩Dž