Predictably Irrationally Agile
www.fabiopereira.me,
Predictably and
Irrationally
Agile
Who is
this guy?
$ 59 $ 125 $ 125
16% 84% 0%
+
68% 32%
$ 59 $ 125
+
$ 59 $ 125 $ 125
+,
DECO
Y
$ 59 $ 125
+
A B
$ 125
DECOY
-B
a"
Psychology...
www.fabiopereira.me,
Predictably and
Irrationally
Agile
Who is
this guy?
$ 59 $ 125 $ 125
16% 84% 0%
+
68% 32%
$ 59 $ 125
+
$ 59 $ 125 $ 125
+,
DECO
Y
$ 59 $ 125
+
A B
$ 125
DECOY
-B
a"
Psychology
Cognitive
Psychology
Introspection"
Scientific
Method"
Psychology
Cognitive
Psychology
Econom
ic
Decision
s/
Public
Choice
AGILE
TEAM
S
Blind
Experime
nts"
h$p://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pepsi_Challenge"
Pepsi
Challenge"
Placebo"
• Individuals and interactions over
processes and tools
• Working software over comprehensive
documentation
• Customer collaboration over contract
negotiation
• Responding to change over following a plan
12"WEEK"COURSE"
Student
Syndrome"
“The goal of a #leanstartup is to move
through the build-measure-learn
feedback loop as quickly as possible”
“The goal of a #leanstartup is to move
through the build-measure-learn
feedback loop as quickly as
possible”
I’d buy for
$170
I’d sel
l for
$2400
Who
changed
my
precious
code?!?!
Endowmen
t Effect
Relativity"
Shop Close"Shop Far"
$22" $15"
$455" $448"
Shop Close"Shop Far"
$22" $15"
$455" $448"
Gain"
$7"
$7"
Shop Close"Shop Far"
$22" $15"
$455" $448"
Gain"
$7"
$7"
31%"
2%"
Principle of Relative Priority"
Principle of Relative Priority"
Buying
Features"
Prioritising with
poker chips"
Release
Radar"
Anchoring"
SSN Initial Price? Bid Price
14 $1
4
$8
55 $55 $32
97 $97 $41
SSN Bid Price
00-19
80-99
X"
Y"
Y = 3X
Market
Norms"
Social
Norms"
Collectivis
m
vs
Individualis
m"
Cognitive
Psychology
Agile Teams
Procrastination"
Iterations
Continuous Delivery"
Endowment Effect Collective Code Ownership"
Relative Choice
Principle of
Relative Priority"
Relative Choice Principle of Relative Priority"
Anchoring Change over Plan"
Market/Social Norms Individuals/Incentives/Morale"
Predictably and
Irrationally…
Agile"
www.fabiopereira.me,
www.fabiopereira.me,
References
https://docs.google.com/Doc?id=ajk9hjp2k4px_10cfgw6h&pli=1
http://web.mit.edu/ariely/www/MIT/Papers/tom.pdf
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=243109
http://agilemanifesto.org/
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Endowment_effect
Images"
h$p://agileboardhacks.files.wordpress.com/2012/02/releaseGradar.jpg"
h$p://www.officialpsds.com/images/thumbs/FountainGPenGpsd17071.png"
h$p://www.bigmen.com/suits/images/ass_suit.jpg"
h$p://www.flickr.com/photos/blueheronco/5314331388/"
h$p://issociate.elcom.com.au/Images/UserUploadedImages/189/BigGfishGsmallGpondGviceGversa.jpg"
h$p://happyhonkers.files.wordpress.com/2011/08/cloudsGinGblueGsky.jpg"
h$p://environmentalgateway.com/wpGcontent/uploads/2010/07/Psychotherapy.jpg"
h$p://communicaXons.nuim.ie/images/yakultlaunchChemistryScienceExperimentPic.jpg"
h$p://preventcancer.aicr.org/images/content/pagebuilder/10387.jpg"
h$p://www.freestockphotography.com.au/stockimages/276.jpg"
h$p://informedfarmers.com/wpGcontent/uploads/2011/09/hay_bale.jpg"
h$p://4.bp.blogspot.com/_wdqqn17WEKY/TSS_7uP3OWI/AAAAAAAAINA/MnJ2DoAdGcI/s1600/cowpic.jpg"
h$p://www.chickenpickinchops.com/images/chicken2.jpg"
h$p://studenthacks.org/wpGcontent/uploads/2007/11/thesisGpaper.jpg"
h$p://www.magicdesXnaXon.com/fozGdeGiguassu/7774_235.jpg"
h$p://www.labsaofrancisco.com/imagens/laboratorio.jpg"
h$p://www.shescribes.com/wpGcontent/uploads/2010/12/ChangeGofGPlansGLogo.jpg"
"
"
Thanks"
www.fabiopereira.me,
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