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首页 利率调升 周期性行业加速优胜劣汰(Interest rates raise cyclical i…

利率调升 周期性行业加速优胜劣汰(Interest rates raise cyclical industries to accelerate the survival of the fittest).doc

利率调升 周期性行业加速优胜劣汰(Interest rates…

屲裡旳孩孓13
2018-10-13 0人阅读 举报 0 0 0 暂无简介

简介:本文档为《利率调升 周期性行业加速优胜劣汰(Interest rates raise cyclical industries to accelerate the survival of the fittest)doc》,可适用于社会民生领域

利率调升周期性行业加速优胜劣汰(Interestratesraisecyclicalindustriestoacceleratethesurvivalofthefittest)利率调升周期性行业加速优胜劣汰(Interestratesraisecyclicalindustriestoacceleratethesurvivalofthefittest)Whetherthesuddenincreaseininterestratewillhaveadverseeffectsonnonferrousmetals,petrochemical,aviation,machineryandothersubstantiveindustries"Dailyeconomicnews"reporterinterviewedanumberofrelatedindustryanalystsFromtheinterview,mostpeopleareoptimisticabouttheindustryprospectunderthebackgroundofinterestratehike,butsomeindustriesmaybeaffectedbyinterestraterisecolouredRelatedenterprisesor"insensitivity""InGuoxinSecuritiesnonferrousmetalsindustryanalystZhengDongseems,theinterestratehikeintheindustryenterprisesdidnothavemuchimpact"Interestrate"ismoreimpactonthemacroeconomy,althoughthenonferrousmetalsectordebtratioisrelativelyhigh,theinterestratehikewilldirectlyincreasethefinancialcostsofenterprisesButforthe"basispoints"range,theenterpriseisgenerallynottoosensitive,theimpactonthecostisnotbig"HesaidHowever,ZhengDonganalysis,thiswillallowenterprisestochangetheeconomyisexpectedtohappeninthefuture,notthewholeeconomicenvironmentisveryrelaxedstate,haslittleeffectontheperformanceofthecompanyandthebusiness,buttheimpactonthestockpriceoflistedcompaniesstillexistContinuedinterestratehikewillaffectthepaceofdomesticfixedassetinvestment,whichwillleadtoaslightslowdownindemandformetals,andfurtheraffectthereasonablereturnofmetalpricesButthecyclicaldeclineofnonferrousmetalsindustryismoreintheupstreamoftheindustrialchain,thatis,rawmateriallinkscoalIthaslittleeffectonshorttermbenefitZhengDongbelievesthattheinterestratehikeontheshorttermimpactofthecoalindustryisnotbigMostofthecoalproductioncapacityhasreachedthelimit,thefutureneedtoinvestanewmine,theinterestratewillincreasethecostoffutureproductionofnewminesInterestratehikewillhaveagreaternegativeimpactontherealestateindustry,whichwillleadtouncertaintiesinthefuturepricetrendofcokingcoalUnlesstheinterestratehikemakestheelectricitydemanddeclineobviously,thepowersupplyanddemandistight,andthenewunitsareputintoproduction,thepowercoalisexpectedtobedelayedmitigation,isstillrelativelyoptimisticMechanicsStrategicemergingindustrieswelcomepositiveCITICinvestmentmachineryindustryanalystFengFuzhangsaidthattheinterestratehikeforthestockmarketisbad,butthestrategicemergingindustriesisgood"Theinterestratehikeshouldbemainlytoshrinkliquidityandeliminatebackwardproductioncapacity,andtherelatedlistedcompaniesinstrategicemergingindustriesstillhaveoperationalopportunities"FengFuzhangsaid,nonferrousmetals,coal,machineryandotherstockmarketswilllosecyclical,inaddition,mayleadtostyleconversiontosmallcapstocksFortheenterpriseitself,themachineryindustryaveragedebttoassetratioisabout~,thefinancialcostsaccountedfornetprofitratioisverylow,basicallyabout~,smallincreasesininterestratesontheconstructionmachineryindustryneedsalimitedimpactforengineeringvehiclemortgageloansareverysmallPetrifactionOrcurboilpriceinflationGuoxinSecuritiespetrochemicalindustryanalystYanBeinabelievesthattheinterestrateforoperationofpetrochemicalenterpriseshavelittleeffect,althoughSinopec'sdebthigher,willincreaseinterestpayments,butthecompanyismorefinancingthroughbondsThedirectresponsetointerestratehikeistheincreaseinborrowingcostsIftheinterestrateincreasesby,accordingtotheindustry'sassetliabilityratio,theshareofinterestexpensewillincreasebyAsfarasprofitabilityisconcerned,theimpactissmallYanBeinaanalysis,interestratesshowthatthecountrybelievesthatinflationisrelativelystrong,itisestimatedtoreducemonetarypayments,whichmayhaveacertainrepressionofthemarketpriceofoilOverall,theriseinlendingratesisanegativeimpactonthechemicalindustryTheupstreamrawmaterialindustry,suchasorganicproducts,syntheticmaterialsandinorganicproducts,hasbeenmuchmoreaffectedTheconsumptionproductsinthemiddleandlowerreachesofthedyestuff,plasticandrubberproductsindustriesarerelativelylessaffectedThedirectinfluenceisveryweak,buttheenterpriseswithlowprofitmaylosetheirlosses"automobileDealerssaytheimpactisnegligibleTheimpactofthecentralbank'sinterestratehikeontheoperationofautomobileenterprisesanddistributorsmustbecertain,buttheinfluenceextentcanbeignored"Yesterday(Octoberth),CITICaviationanalystLiLeibelievesthattheinterestrateisaconventionalmethod,isnotdirectlyfortheairline,"becausetheinterestrateisonlybasispoints,canbesaidtobeadrizzle"Butoverall,theinterestrateisgenerallythelargestenterprisesaffectthebalanceofinterestbearingliabilitiesisrelativelyhigh,whilenetprofitislow,theabsolutevalueofprofitsintheenterprise,oncetheinterestrate,theyarelikelytofallintothelossoftheteamonthecontrary,thebalanceofinterestbearingliabilitiesislow,evennointerestbearingliabilitiesofenterprisesthenegativeeffectofinterestrateisverylittlestatementmanuscriptwithoutthe"dailyeconomicnews"authorizationisforbidden,howstuffworkscomIfyouneedtoreprintorlearnmorewonderfulcontent,pleaselogintotheofficialwebsite:

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